Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Orenburg
FC Khimki 		16.5%
62.7%		20.8%
+189
+119

0.93
2.01		2.94
o3-108
u3-112

Dynamo Mosc
Spartak Moscow 		26.8%
44.8%		28.3%
+235
-113

0.93
1.29		2.22
o3-108
u3-112

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sochi
Loko Moscow		29.3%
44.1%		26.6%
+280
+112
+290
+110
1
3		-0.79769-0.79078-0.50941
Krasnodar
Tambov		60.6%
20.5%		18.9%
-1250
+3241
-730
+2000
4
0		-0.02845-0.04614-0.29186
Rubin Kazan
Ufa		34.4%
31.5%		34.1%
+131
+240
+120
+265
3
0		-0.32920-0.30198-0.64963
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo Mosc		36.0%
33.8%		30.2%
+172
+166
+175
+160
2
1		-0.44254-0.45549-0.66310
Akhmat Grozny
Zenit		14.6%
71.3%		14.0%
+938
-303
+725
-265
0
4		-0.31938-0.37021-0.18661
CSKA Moscow
Arsenal Tula		55.8%
22.6%		21.6%
-172
+519
-155
+440
1
2		-1.86233-1.73778-1.24542
Rotor Volgograd
Ural		22.7%
53.0%		24.3%
+260
+109
+275
+110
0
1		-0.81303-0.79125-0.35706
Rostov
FC Khimki		39.7%
34.2%		26.1%
+175
+182
+185
+175
0
1		-1.08285-1.05834-0.76988
Zenit
Rubin Kazan		61.3%
18.4%		20.3%
-143
+481
-170
+450
1
2		-1.48589-1.49580-1.46638
Loko Moscow
Arsenal Tula		49.3%
25.8%		24.9%
+154
+236
+115
+245
3
0		-0.56301-0.48439-0.42074
Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow		36.5%
35.0%		28.5%
+200
+130
+200
+135
1
6		-0.56909-0.57848-0.71539
Tambov
Dynamo Mosc		21.3%
56.6%		22.0%
+3300
-2500
+2500
-875
0
2		-0.03013-0.04196-0.31950
Ufa
Ural		31.1%
38.7%		30.2%
+210
+150
+275
+120
0
0		-0.69892-0.72828-0.69908
Sochi
Rostov		32.4%
41.6%		26.0%
+153
+215
+165
+200
0
0		-0.69914-0.69507-0.70088
FC Khimki
Rotor Volgograd		51.1%
24.6%		24.3%
+192
+160
+175
+185
0
0		-0.69484-0.69330-0.75850
Akhmat Grozny
CSKA Moscow		21.6%
56.5%		21.8%
+461
-154
+425
-150
0
2		-0.25773-0.27571-0.32418
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25537 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27382
-0.01845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.