Atlético Madrid at Rayo Vallecano

Updated 48 days ago

07:00 PM • Sep 22, 2024

Atlético Madrid

75.8%16.3%7.9%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawWin

2.27Projected Goals 0.59

1Final Score 1

Rayo Vallecano

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
W 0-3	9/15 vs Valencia	-278
W 1-0	8/31 at Athletic Club	+165
T 0-0	8/28 vs Espanyol	-397
T 2-2	8/19 at Villarreal	+103
W 2-0	5/25 at Real Sociedad	+180

Rayo Vallecano		Money Line
W 1-3	9/16 vs Osasuna	+110
L 1-2	8/31 at Espanyol	+190
L 2-1	8/27 vs Barcelona	+456
T 0-0	8/24 at Getafe	+225
W 2-1	8/18 at Real Sociedad	+510

Money Line Analysis

:0.9%:4.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	-120	-	-125	-140	-	-140	-125	-
Rayo Vallecano	+350	-	+380	+470	-	+470	+470	-
Draw	+255	-	+250	+260	-	+260	+260	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	-125	-	-135	-	-170	-140	-135	-
Rayo Vallecano	+380	-	+425	-	+425	+450	+450	-
Draw	+250	-	+250	-	+225	+250	+250	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from -135 to -14409/22/2024
06:47 PM

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +380 to +37009/22/2024
10:39 AM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Rayo Vallecano: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from -160 to -17009/22/2024
06:59 PM

Rayo Vallecano ML moved from +445 to +42509/22/2024
06:59 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:3.7%:3.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-108	-	o2¼-108	o2¼-112	-	o2¼-112	o2¼-108	-
Under	u2¼-112	-	u2¼-112	u2¼-108	-	u2¼-108	u2¼-108	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+125	o2½+125	o2½+128	-	o2½+120	o2½+125	o2½+128	-
Under	u2½-145	u2½-145	u2½-148	-	u2½-150	u2½-145	u2½-145	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	39.8%


No	60.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	5.70%
Exactly 2	23.39%
Exactly 4	15.99%
Exactly 6	4.37%
Exactly 8	0.64%


Exactly 1	16.33%
Exactly 3	22.33%
Exactly 5	9.16%
Exactly 7	1.79%
Exactly 9	0.20%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	10.24%
Exactly 1	23.34%
Exactly 2	26.59%
Exactly 3	20.20%
Exactly 4	11.51%
Exactly 5	5.24%
Exactly 6	1.99%
Exactly 7	0.65%
Exactly 8	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 0	55.68%
Exactly 1	32.60%
Exactly 2	9.55%
Exactly 3	1.86%
Exactly 4	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	26.55%
Exactly 2	23.35%
Exactly 4	3.42%
Exactly 6	0.20%


Exactly 1	35.21%
Exactly 3	10.32%
Exactly 5	0.91%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	34.82%
Exactly 1	36.73%
Exactly 2	19.38%
Exactly 3	6.82%
Exactly 4	1.80%
Exactly 5	0.38%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rayo Vallecano
Exactly 0	76.25%
Exactly 1	20.67%
Exactly 2	2.80%
Exactly 3	0.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	51.95%
Wins by 3+ goals	29.35%
Wins by 4+ goals	13.82%
Wins by 5+ goals	5.50%

Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 2+ goals	1.77%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	23.82%
Wins by 2 goals	22.59%
Wins by 3 goals	15.54%
Wins by 4 goals	8.32%
Wins by 5 goals	3.64%

Rayo Vallecano
Wins by 1 goal	6.12%
Wins by 2 goals	1.48%
Wins by 3 goals	0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	94.30%	5.70%
1.5	77.97%	22.03%
2.5	54.58%	45.42%
3.5	32.24%	67.76%
4.5	16.25%	83.75%
5.5	7.09%	92.91%
6.5	2.71%	97.29%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.76%	10.24%
1.5	66.42%	33.58%
2.5	39.84%	60.16%
3.5	19.64%	80.36%
4.5	8.13%	91.87%
5.5	2.89%	97.11%

Total Goals Rayo Vallecano Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	44.32%	55.68%
1.5	11.72%	88.28%
2.5	2.17%	97.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	73.45%	26.55%
1.5	38.24%	61.76%
2.5	14.90%	85.10%
3.5	4.58%	95.42%
4.5	1.15%	98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Score	0	1	2	3
0	5.70%	3.34%	0.98%	0.19%
1	12.99%	7.61%	2.23%	0.43%
2	14.80%	8.67%	2.54%	0.50%
3	11.25%	6.59%	1.93%	0.38%
4	6.41%	3.75%	1.10%	0.21%
5	2.92%	1.71%	0.50%	0.10%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	12.99%
2-0	14.80%
2-1	8.67%
3-0	11.25%
3-1	6.59%
3-2	1.93%
4-0	6.41%
4-1	3.75%
4-2	1.10%
4-3	0.21%
5-0	2.92%
5-1	1.71%
5-2	0.50%

Draw
0-0	5.70%
1-1	7.61%
2-2	2.54%
3-3	0.38%

Rayo Vallecano
0-1	3.34%
0-2	0.98%
1-2	2.23%
0-3	0.19%
1-3	0.43%
2-3	0.50%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Rayo Vallecano

Score	0	1	2
0	26.55%	7.20%	0.98%
1	28.01%	7.59%	1.03%
2	14.78%	4.01%	0.54%
3	5.20%	1.41%	0.19%
4	1.37%	0.37%	0.05%
5	0.29%	0.08%	0.01%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	28.01%
2-0	14.78%
2-1	4.01%
3-0	5.20%
3-1	1.41%
3-2	0.19%
4-0	1.37%
4-1	0.37%
5-0	0.29%

Draw
0-0	26.55%
1-1	7.59%
2-2	0.54%

Rayo Vallecano
0-1	7.20%
0-2	0.98%
1-2	1.03%

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