Almería at Villarreal

Updated

Almería

15.5%20.3%64.2%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.90Projected Goals 2.06
1Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Almería
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Celta Vigo+195
T 1-1 at Cadiz+242
L 3-1 vs Real Madrid+675
L 2-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+160
T 3-3 at Espanyol+180
Villarreal
Money Line
L 1-3 at Cadiz+118
L 4-3 vs Barcelona+241
L 2-1 vs Betis-135
T 2-2 vs Atlético Madrid+165
L 1-2 at Rayo Vallecano+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+475+557+440+505-+505+557-
Villarreal-200-208-200-205--205-200-
Draw+370+378+420+405-+405+405-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+525-+525-+475+455+525-
Villarreal-205--225--250-200-200-
Draw+360-+400-+320+390+400-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +512 to +495
Villarreal ML moved from -195 to -202

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +515 to +455
Villarreal ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-8.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-109o3½-105o3½+100-o3½+100o3-109-
Underu3-115u3-106u3½-115u3½-120-u3½-120u3½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-125o3½-110-o3½-110o3½-110o3-125-
Underu3-105u3+105u3½-110-u3½-120u3½-110u3½-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 60.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-128 to o3¼-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.18%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 416.58%
Exactly 64.84%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.34%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.81%
Exactly 72.05%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Almería
Exactly 040.68%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 216.45%
Exactly 34.93%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 012.74%
Exactly 126.24%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.58%
Exactly 49.57%
Exactly 53.94%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.40%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 310.90%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almería
Exactly 065.94%
Exactly 127.46%
Exactly 25.72%
Exactly 30.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 038.51%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.53%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almería
Wins by 2+ goals4.92%
Wins by 3+ goals1.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals40.07%
Wins by 3+ goals20.49%
Wins by 4+ goals8.71%
Wins by 5+ goals3.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.96%
Wins by 7+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Almería
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Almería
Wins by 1 goal10.54%
Wins by 2 goals3.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.97%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.15%
Wins by 2 goals19.58%
Wins by 3 goals11.78%
Wins by 4 goals5.58%
Wins by 5 goals2.17%
Wins by 6 goals0.71%
Wins by 7 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.82%5.18%
1.579.48%20.52%
2.556.78%43.22%
3.534.38%65.62%
4.517.81%82.19%
5.58.00%92.00%
6.53.15%96.85%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Almería Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.32%40.68%
1.522.73%77.27%
2.56.28%93.72%
3.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.26%12.74%
1.561.02%38.98%
2.533.98%66.02%
3.515.40%84.60%
4.55.83%94.17%
5.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.60%25.40%
1.539.80%60.20%
2.515.94%84.06%
3.55.05%94.95%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almería
Villarreal
Score012345
0
5.18%
10.68%
11.00%
7.56%
3.89%
1.60%
1
4.66%
9.60%
9.89%
6.80%
3.50%
1.44%
2
2.10%
4.32%
4.45%
3.06%
1.57%
0.65%
3
0.63%
1.29%
1.33%
0.92%
0.47%
0.19%
4
0.14%
0.29%
0.30%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
Almería
1-04.66%
2-02.10%
2-14.32%
3-00.63%
3-11.29%
3-21.33%
4-00.14%
4-10.29%
4-20.30%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-05.18%
1-19.60%
2-24.45%
3-30.92%
4-40.11%
Villarreal
0-110.68%
0-211.00%
1-29.89%
0-37.56%
1-36.80%
2-33.06%
0-43.89%
1-43.50%
2-41.57%
3-40.47%
0-51.60%
1-51.44%
2-50.65%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Almería
Villarreal
Score012345
0
25.40%
24.23%
11.56%
3.68%
0.88%
0.17%
1
10.58%
10.09%
4.81%
1.53%
0.37%
0.07%
2
2.20%
2.10%
1.00%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.29%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Almería
1-010.58%
2-02.20%
2-12.10%
3-00.31%
3-10.29%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-025.40%
1-110.09%
2-21.00%
Villarreal
0-124.23%
0-211.56%
1-24.81%
0-33.68%
1-31.53%
2-30.32%
0-40.88%
1-40.37%
0-50.17%