Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Espanyol 		44.3%
28.7%		27.0%
+300
+108
+290
+105
1.38
1.06		2.44
o2¼-125
u2½-128
o2½+110
u2½-130
Games for Apr 26, 2026
Games for Apr 28, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Espanyol
Barcelona		5.9%
81.5%		12.6%
+800
-308
+750
-315
1
4		-0.31605-0.31949-0.20417
Valencia
Elche		49.6%
24.5%		25.9%
+172
+168
+170
+160
0
1		-1.02012-1.00343-1.40699
Alavés
Real Sociedad		12.6%
68.1%		19.3%
+347
-118
+390
-115
3
3		-1.34297-1.33712-1.64683
Osasuna
Alavés		39.9%
31.7%		28.4%
+175
+188
+185
+176
2
2		-1.16210-1.17542-1.25913
Celta Vigo
Valencia		24.7%
50.0%		25.2%
+221
+140
+225
+135
3
2		-1.19972-1.21875-1.39687
Athletic Club
Getafe		33.9%
35.1%		30.9%
+158
+240
+165
+248
0
2		-1.24880-1.26008-1.04597
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+111
+245
+105
+217
2
1		-0.74858-0.74642-1.09383
Espanyol
Betis		25.4%
48.9%		25.7%
+385
-133
+360
-130
0
0		-1.40344-1.37976-1.35930
Levante
Real Sociedad		20.9%
56.4%		22.8%
+472
-167
+464
-180
0
2		-0.50423-0.49066-0.57322
Elche
Rayo Vallecano		31.0%
40.4%		28.6%
+410
-138
+400
-140
0
1		-0.57682-0.58645-0.90639
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid		33.7%
36.3%		30.0%
+240
+105
+250
+100
2
3		-0.74807-0.73441-1.01324
Betis
Athletic Club		27.9%
46.0%		26.1%
+275
+105
+255
+105
1
2		-0.74959-0.76404-0.77579
Alavés
Celta Vigo		27.2%
45.3%		27.4%
+340
-102
+325
+100
4
3		-1.51627-1.48452-1.30045
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.1%
83.7%		11.2%
+1200
-500
+1050
-465
0
1		-0.21696-0.24068-0.17831
Valencia
Sevilla		16.3%
61.7%		21.9%
+265
+122
+245
+130
2
0		-1.32912-1.27959-1.81253
Getafe
Espanyol		39.9%
29.8%		30.3%
+256
+148
+255
+145
2
1		-1.30416-1.30685-0.91879
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.88088 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.88712 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.24326
-0.36238
-0.35614

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.