Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Elche
Valencia		18.5%
58.3%		23.2%
+310
+101
+305
+100
1
1		-1.25868-1.27447-1.46283
Alavés
Villarreal		12.7%
68.5%		18.8%
+690
-211
+685
-220
1
3		-0.42277-0.42105-0.37880
Real Sociedad
Getafe		48.0%
25.0%		26.9%
+138
+262
+138
+255
2
1		-0.90187-0.91849-0.73332
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad		50.6%
23.3%		26.1%
-108
+325
-110
+305
1
1		-1.34861-1.34850-1.34209
Betis
Real Madrid		9.5%
75.1%		15.4%
+560
-197
+567
-200
1
5		-0.44454-0.43889-0.28638
Levante
Sevilla		15.7%
63.3%		21.0%
+398
-131
+373
-135
3
0		-1.63943-1.60182-1.85221
Barcelona
Espanyol		76.8%
8.0%		15.1%
-199
+520
-194
+490
2
0		-0.43759-0.44862-0.26341
Villarreal
Elche		63.4%
15.6%		20.9%
+129
+222
+126
+240
3
1		-0.86176-0.84148-0.45519
Athletic Club
Osasuna		37.5%
33.9%		28.6%
+168
+208
+171
+200
1
1		-1.12248-1.11079-1.25085
Valencia
Celta Vigo		41.0%
31.7%		27.3%
+325
+105
+310
+100
1
4		-0.75188-0.74345-1.15021
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
27.6%		28.7%
+360
+113
+350
+110
1
1		-1.08901-1.11164-1.24737
Espanyol
Athletic Club		21.3%
53.0%		25.7%
+380
-113
+380
-110
2
1		-1.60276-1.59121-1.54806
Getafe
Betis		33.5%
37.9%		28.6%
+487
-135
+450
-130
0
4		-0.58438-0.61939-0.97085
Rayo Vallecano
Elche		32.5%
38.3%		29.2%
+228
+155
+221
+150
0
4		-0.97038-0.95493-0.96032
Barcelona
Villarreal		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-133
+323
-130
+325
2
0		-0.59213-0.59695-0.58857
Sevilla
Real Madrid		25.0%
48.5%		26.5%
+1300
-475
+1200
-515
0
2		-0.22588-0.22401-0.72365
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.91644 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.89816 
DRatings21-1-0 (0.500)0-0.80531
0.11113
0.09284

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.