Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Sevilla
Alavés 		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+266
+120
+285
+115
1.94
0.72		2.66
o2¼-102
u2¼-116
o2½+128
u2½-145
Games for Sep 19, 2024
Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valladolid
Barcelona		5.9%
81.6%		12.6%
+1375
-500
+1250
-480
0
7		-0.21535-0.23279-0.20386
Real Madrid
Las Palmas		80.7%
6.1%		13.2%
-305
+850
-315
+900
1
1		-1.76638-1.78886-2.02609
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.0%		15.4%
+1300
-385
+1300
-397
0
0		-1.80199-1.81388-1.87028
Alavés
Real Sociedad		12.6%
68.1%		19.3%
+575
-163
+577
-175
2
1		-1.93683-1.95411-2.07171
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+440
-137
+455
-140
0
1		-0.57755-0.56874-0.91917
Leganés
Valladolid		30.4%
39.1%		30.5%
+310
+120
+283
+120
0
0		-1.14112-1.14646-1.18872
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		79.4%
7.0%		13.5%
-145
+425
-150
+456
2
1		-0.53929-0.54025-0.23008
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+412
-150
+375
-135
3
4		-0.53832-0.58281-0.44613
Betis
Alavés		41.4%
31.3%		27.3%
+240
+145
+230
+140
0
0		-1.14482-1.17283-1.29942
Valladolid
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.5%		14.3%
+2100
-625
+1900
-835
0
3		-0.16112-0.16030-0.24151
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		21.5%
52.3%		26.2%
+230
+170
+225
+165
0
0		-1.05268-1.07093-1.33758
Real Sociedad
Espanyol		59.0%
18.0%		23.0%
+120
+290
+115
+290
1
0		-0.81164-0.81164-0.52821
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+475
-167
+440
-170
1
2		-0.50441-0.50994-0.30491
Villarreal
Sevilla		25.5%
48.9%		25.6%
+225
+120
+220
+120
2
1		-1.20925-1.20554-1.36787
Valencia
Celta Vigo		41.0%
31.7%		27.3%
+277
+115
+260
+110
1
3		-0.78966-0.79308-1.15021
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		51.4%
23.1%		25.5%
+110
+258
+103
+260
2
2		-1.30759-1.33815-1.36610
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79244 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.79334 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.81568
-0.02324
-0.02234

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.