Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 7, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Leganés 		38.7%
31.7%		29.6%
+191
+173
+180
+175
1.13
1.00		2.13
o2-108
u2-108
o2-125
u2+110
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Games for Apr 11, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+260
+144
+260
+140
2
2		-1.10806-1.11468-1.55159
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+277
+137
+275
+140
2
1		-1.35290-1.35538-1.08631
Athletic Club
Sevilla		16.3%
60.8%		22.9%
+205
+165
+190
+180
1
0		-1.14769-1.09940-1.81100
Betis
Leganés		40.0%
31.4%		28.6%
+105
+305
+105
+300
3
2		-0.75052-0.75788-0.91522
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
+120
+222
+125
+205
2
1		-0.81973-0.85264-0.69870
Celta Vigo
Valladolid		35.3%
35.2%		29.4%
-132
+390
-135
+420
1
0		-0.59618-0.57723-1.04001
Alavés
Las Palmas		41.7%
29.4%		28.9%
+180
+187
+166
+195
2
2		-1.14131-1.14577-1.23974
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		39.3%
32.5%		28.2%
+228
+148
+235
+140
1
0		-1.22319-1.25110-0.93298
Las Palmas
Betis		16.7%
61.9%		21.4%
+910
-295
+900
-300
0
1		-0.32247-0.32563-0.47965
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		6.2%
80.8%		12.9%
+1000
-345
+1000
-375
1
2		-0.28163-0.28238-0.21285
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		64.3%
13.0%		22.6%
-114
+415
-118
+405
1
2		-1.67302-1.66532-2.03638
Valladolid
Valencia		21.5%
54.0%		24.5%
+775
-237
+825
-260
1
2		-0.37758-0.36980-0.61630
Villarreal
Alavés		60.7%
17.4%		21.9%
+152
+212
+155
+200
0
1		-1.16726-1.14069-1.74979
Leganés
Celta Vigo		27.4%
43.9%		28.7%
+545
-175
+555
-185
1
2		-0.48669-0.48263-0.82280
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+275
+120
+260
+120
3
3		-1.25966-1.21790-1.28197
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		16.1%
63.2%		20.6%
+1100
-393
+1100
-385
0
4		-0.26047-0.27379-0.45834
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.92459 
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.92854 
DRatings43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.89528
0.02931
0.03326

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.