Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Villarreal		21.8%
54.2%		24.0%
+220
+137
+213
+135
0
0		-1.24136-1.25155-1.42820
Getafe
Valladolid		40.0%
30.0%		30.1%
+100
+378
+100
+350
4
0		-0.71947-0.74202-0.91732
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla		41.3%
28.9%		29.8%
+125
+266
+130
+257
2
1		-0.83142-0.85524-0.88399
Real Sociedad
Las Palmas		70.4%
11.4%		18.3%
+140
+224
+135
+260
3
1		-0.90612-0.86536-0.35162
Betis
Barcelona		7.7%
78.9%		13.4%
+675
-270
+700
-285
1
1		-1.78135-1.78767-2.00954
Valencia
Real Madrid		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+970
-345
+1000
-380
2
1		-2.39371-2.43840-2.14140
Las Palmas
Celta Vigo		19.1%
56.9%		24.0%
+515
-170
+500
-175
1
1		-1.45577-1.45685-1.42724
Sevilla
Betis		59.5%
18.2%		22.3%
+425
-130
+410
-130
1
2		-0.60572-0.61648-1.70243
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+625
-193
+675
-215
0
0		-1.50521-1.51077-1.31774
Villarreal
Getafe		48.2%
25.4%		26.4%
+142
+237
+135
+240
2
1		-0.91083-0.89578-0.72965
Leganés
Real Madrid		7.0%
77.8%		15.1%
+1750
-480
+1600
-525
2
3		-0.19586-0.19418-0.25068
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés		30.2%
41.2%		28.5%
+325
+115
+310
+115
2
0		-1.47482-1.44723-1.19663
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
-150
+495
-150
+480
1
1		-1.35592-1.32991-1.70545
Valladolid
Real Sociedad		13.3%
67.0%		19.7%
+960
-265
+890
-280
1
2		-0.35059-0.35054-0.40087
Osasuna
Barcelona		7.6%
78.5%		13.9%
+1450
-480
+1200
-515
0
3		-0.21015-0.22401-0.24184
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+121
+215
+120
+215
4
2		-0.82759-0.83704-1.09383
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.92459 
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.92854 
DRatings43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.89528
0.02931
0.03326

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.