Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Celta Vigo 		25.0%
48.3%		26.7%
+340
-117

0.96
1.44		2.40
o2½-125
u2¾-110

Volatility Bet Value Active
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe 		21.5%
52.3%		26.2%
+287
+111

0.85
1.49		2.34
o2+100
u2-119

Real Madrid
Espanyol 		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-132
+354

2.24
0.68		2.92
o3-115
u3-105

Games for May 2, 2026
Games for May 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Levante
Espanyol		44.3%
28.7%		27.0%
+273
+118
+270
+115
0
0		-1.21261-1.22520-1.31093
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+315
-112
+300
-108
1
2		-0.67270-0.70134-0.44613
Sevilla
Osasuna		59.5%
17.7%		22.8%
+342
-106
+315
+100
1
2		-0.69876-0.71400-1.73206
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+169
+169
+171
+185
3
3		-1.27118-1.24601-1.55159
Athletic Club
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
69.6%		19.6%
+295
-105
+285
-105
2
3		-0.70057-0.70556-0.36268
Barcelona
Getafe		68.7%
11.9%		19.4%
-168
+532
-150
+485
2
0		-0.49852-0.53909-0.37530
Real Madrid
Betis		68.4%
13.2%		18.4%
-115
+275
-115
+275
1
1		-1.49214-1.47028-1.69049
Sevilla
Levante		54.9%
21.2%		24.0%
+213
+145
+215
+143
0
2		-0.93082-0.92120-1.55320
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+970
-408
+950
-425
0
1		-0.25409-0.25686-0.22367
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.1%
56.7%		24.2%
+265
+133
+275
+125
1
0		-1.32844-1.34892-1.65637
Atlético Madrid
Elche		75.7%
7.7%		16.6%
+190
+140
+180
+144
2
3		-0.91031-0.92508-2.56395
Alavés
Real Madrid		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1250
-480
+1175
-460
1
2		-0.22363-0.23380-0.23226
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+372
-113
+365
-120
0
1		-0.65768-0.65289-0.77187
Getafe
Levante		29.9%
42.2%		27.9%
+210
+160
+205
+170
0
1		-0.98894-1.03541-0.86365
Villarreal
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+270
+110
+270
+107
2
1		-1.34320-1.35066-0.79476
Betis
Osasuna		33.4%
39.8%		26.9%
+231
+130
+228
+123
1
1		-1.26475-1.28060-1.31476
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.21261 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.22520 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31093
-0.09832
-0.08573

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.