Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 20, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Levante 		47.2%
27.5%		25.3%
+120
+225

1.55
1.12		2.67
o2½-108
u2½-111

Alavés
Osasuna 		24.9%
48.7%		26.3%
+255
+128

0.98
1.47		2.45
o2-112
u2-106

Sevilla
Real Madrid 		25.0%
48.5%		26.5%
+1150
-460

0.96
1.46		2.42
o3½-114
u3½-105

Games for Dec 19, 2025
Games for Dec 21, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Almería
Real Sociedad		15.3%
64.0%		20.7%
+1140
-335
+1129
-350
2
2		-1.75169-1.74491-1.57644
Villarreal
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+455
-163
+438
-165
1
1		-1.49063-1.47142-1.33143
Alavés
Granada		20.3%
55.7%		23.9%
+165
+205
+190
+175
0
2		-1.14256-1.04728-0.58456
Sevilla
Las Palmas		74.8%
8.5%		16.7%
+162
+195
+160
+189
2
0		-0.98216-0.99774-0.29099
Barcelona
Cadiz		78.3%
7.1%		14.6%
+100
+290
+110
+310
1
0		-0.72902-0.75184-0.24421
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
27.6%		28.7%
+274
+133
+273
+130
0
0		-1.16133-1.14097-1.24737
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+345
-110
+300
-105
1
2		-0.67109-0.70824-0.80399
Valencia
Granada		32.3%
40.7%		27.0%
+150
+221
+145
+215
1
0		-0.94487-0.94415-1.12945
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		51.4%
23.1%		25.5%
+110
+255
+120
+210
2
1		-0.76970-0.83829-0.66582
Athletic Club
Real Madrid		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+490
-175
+475
-165
0
2		-0.48711-0.50785-0.36619
Real Sociedad
Alavés		60.4%
17.2%		22.4%
+120
+305
+120
+290
1
0		-0.81735-0.83718-0.50382
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		25.9%
47.7%		26.4%
+347
-107
+340
-106
0
0		-1.29916-1.26954-1.33287
Las Palmas
Barcelona		3.8%
86.5%		9.6%
+975
-385
+925
-390
0
1		-0.26635-0.26904-0.14466
Osasuna
Almería		35.1%
36.6%		28.3%
+200
+150
+190
+155
3
0		-1.13345-1.10660-1.04660
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+200
+167
+205
+160
1
0		-1.13271-1.14662-0.59904
Granada
Cadiz		48.6%
24.7%		26.7%
+410
-115
+390
-110
0
1		-0.65913-0.67708-1.39748
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.20875 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.23732 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.33260
-0.12385
-0.09528

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.