Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 15, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Real Sociedad 		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+310
-107
+315
-110
0.93
1.95		2.88
o2½+100
u2½-112
o2½-110
u2½-110
Games for Mar 14, 2026
Games for Mar 16, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Celta Vigo
Betis 		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+285
+108
+288
+105
2.59
o2½-102
u2½-117
o2½-105
u2½-115
1st H
38:00		1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Las Palmas
Alavés		23.0%
50.4%		26.7%
+458
-125
+420
-135
0
2		-0.60411-0.59716-0.68609
Villarreal
Valencia		45.8%
28.6%		25.6%
+192
+165
+182
+170
1
1		-1.22710-1.20431-1.36176
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+173
+180
+165
+180
1
0		-1.02602-1.01957-0.46922
Valladolid
Barcelona		5.9%
81.6%		12.6%
+1375
-500
+1250
-480
0
7		-0.21535-0.23279-0.20386
Real Madrid
Las Palmas		80.7%
6.1%		13.2%
-305
+850
-315
+900
1
1		-1.76638-1.78886-2.02609
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.0%		15.4%
+1300
-385
+1300
-397
0
0		-1.80199-1.81388-1.87028
Alavés
Real Sociedad		12.6%
68.1%		19.3%
+575
-163
+577
-175
2
1		-1.93683-1.95411-2.07171
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+440
-137
+455
-140
0
1		-0.57755-0.56874-0.91917
Leganés
Valladolid		30.4%
39.1%		30.5%
+310
+120
+283
+120
0
0		-1.14112-1.14646-1.18872
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano		79.4%
7.0%		13.5%
-145
+425
-150
+456
2
1		-0.53929-0.54025-0.23008
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+412
-150
+375
-135
3
4		-0.53832-0.58281-0.44613
Betis
Alavés		41.4%
31.3%		27.3%
+240
+145
+230
+140
0
0		-1.14482-1.17283-1.29942
Valladolid
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.5%		14.3%
+2100
-625
+1900
-835
0
3		-0.16112-0.16030-0.24151
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		21.5%
52.3%		26.2%
+230
+170
+225
+165
0
0		-1.05268-1.07093-1.33758
Real Sociedad
Espanyol		59.0%
18.0%		23.0%
+120
+290
+115
+290
1
0		-0.81164-0.81164-0.52821
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+475
-167
+440
-170
1
2		-0.50441-0.50994-0.30491
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.29288 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.29350 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.41337
-0.12048
-0.11987

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.