Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+423
-135
+406
-145
0.97
1.50		2.47
o2½-112
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½+110
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-130
+325
-125
+306
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3¼-124
u3½-120
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-121
+407
-125
+381
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-108
u2¼-112
o2½+125
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Leganés
Getafe 		22.9%
48.2%		29.0%
+415
+104
+400
+105
2.07
o1½-115
u1½+102
o1½-118
u1½+120
1st H
20:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Barcelona		21.4%
54.2%		24.4%
+1000
-314
+900
-325
0
3		-0.30038-0.31696-0.61304
Valladolid
Real Sociedad		13.3%
67.0%		19.7%
+686
-203
+650
-210
1
0		-2.08594-2.06262-2.01808
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+317
+110
+295
+110
4
3		-1.44231-1.42437-1.22974
Getafe
Atlético Madrid		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+868
-213
+875
-240
1
1		-1.44945-1.46201-1.63399
Villarreal
Elche		63.4%
15.6%		20.9%
-144
+443
-150
+415
1
3		-1.71535-1.68837-1.85547
Osasuna
Espanyol		38.5%
32.7%		28.8%
+211
+175
+190
+175
1
1		-1.13032-1.12819-1.24361
Cadiz
Athletic Club		18.9%
56.0%		25.1%
+988
-263
+850
-260
1
4		-0.34713-0.37631-0.58037
Valencia
Real Madrid		11.7%
70.3%		18.0%
+830
-257
+770
-290
0
2		-0.34820-0.34763-0.35288
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
-124
+396
-135
+365
2
1		-0.61367-0.60565-0.31492
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+392
-122
+380
-125
1
0		-1.61541-1.60944-2.14157
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		19.3%
58.0%		22.7%
+404
-127
+400
-140
0
0		-1.35580-1.37054-1.48377
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+163
+230
+160
+205
0
1		-1.21039-1.16533-1.16059
Atlético Madrid
Osasuna		68.9%
11.7%		19.4%
+108
+340
+105
+300
1
0		-0.75271-0.76692-0.37285
Valencia
Valladolid		45.1%
27.9%		27.0%
+150
+219
+135
+220
0
1		-1.18189-1.21244-1.27611
Betis
Getafe		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+187
+210
+165
+215
1
0		-1.07476-1.02521-1.18862
Elche
Sevilla		8.5%
74.8%		16.7%
+638
-178
+585
-190
0
3		-0.46533-0.47276-0.28990
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.41588 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.40734 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.37606
0.03982
0.03128

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.