Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-130
+325
-130
+315
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3¼-124
u3½-120
o3½+100
u3½-120
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-121
+407
-120
+379
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-108
u2¼-112
o2½+128
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club 		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+415
-128
+346
-130
2.47
o2½-112
u2½-108
o2½-115
u2½-105
1st H
21:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Elche
Sevilla		8.5%
74.8%		16.7%
+638
-178
+585
-190
0
3		-0.46533-0.47276-0.28990
Almería
Valencia		24.4%
50.3%		25.2%
+470
-157
+460
-165
2
2		-1.45921-1.43624-1.37729
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
+153
+200
+145
+185
2
0		-0.94814-0.94384-0.48056
Getafe
Barcelona		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1450
-367
+1360
-450
0
1		-0.26292-0.25004-0.28842
Osasuna
Elche		42.9%
29.3%		27.8%
+167
+208
+130
+235
1
1		-1.15296-1.19690-1.28049
Cadiz
Sevilla		8.8%
73.5%		17.7%
+430
-122
+425
-130
0
1		-0.61454-0.61915-0.30767
Valladolid
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.2%		15.2%
+915
-266
+850
-290
0
3		-0.32956-0.34589-0.24594
Betis
Espanyol		39.9%
32.4%		27.7%
+191
+183
+175
+170
0
1		-1.06068-1.04344-1.12831
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+174
+200
+160
+200
2
0		-1.02862-1.00550-0.46596
Elche
Cadiz		30.6%
39.0%		30.3%
+365
-102
+350
-110
1
1		-1.23781-1.24181-1.19264
Atlético Madrid
Almería		71.0%
10.3%		18.7%
-130
+414
-135
+390
1
1		-1.36739-1.34592-1.67756
Espanyol
Getafe		23.5%
48.3%		28.1%
+258
+151
+245
+140
2
1		-1.29536-1.28844-1.44660
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.2%		24.3%
+280
+137
+250
+135
1
3		-0.88116-0.90342-0.61288
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid		29.1%
42.8%		28.1%
+175
+190
+160
+185
1
0		-1.02949-1.00239-1.23447
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		55.5%
21.3%		23.2%
+173
+190
+170
+180
1
1		-1.19730-1.18026-1.45887
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+572
-146
+560
-175
0
0		-1.36920-1.38478-1.31774
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.62261 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.61602 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.74132
-0.11870
-0.12529

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.