Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-110
+310
-110
+285
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3¼-122
u3½-120
o3½+102
u3½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-121
+407
-120
+379
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-108
u2¼-112
o2½+128
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+572
-146
+560
-175
0
0		-1.36920-1.38478-1.31774
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+147
+228
+145
+210
1
0		-0.90130-0.94317-1.09383
Getafe
Sevilla		14.4%
62.8%		22.7%
+437
-113
+420
-120
1
2		-0.63881-0.65518-0.46453
Betis
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
29.9%		26.4%
+225
+151
+205
+140
2
1		-1.19050-1.16603-0.82764
Real Sociedad
Almería		55.6%
20.7%		23.7%
-102
+341
-105
+325
2
0		-0.70546-0.71832-0.58742
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
+110
+261
+105
+240
1
2		-1.30059-1.27465-1.36869
Cadiz
Valencia		18.9%
56.9%		24.1%
+530
-161
+500
-180
1
0		-1.85694-1.84099-1.66500
Celta Vigo
Elche		39.6%
31.7%		28.8%
+115
+308
+105
+300
1
0		-0.77416-0.76692-0.92697
Cadiz
Real Madrid		6.3%
79.8%		13.9%
+1351
-440
+1200
-500
1
2		-0.23104-0.23216-0.22546
Betis
Valencia		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+280
+123
+255
+120
0
3		-0.81470-0.83605-0.76312
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano		38.9%
32.7%		28.4%
+320
+117
+275
+110
0
0		-1.18312-1.22799-1.25998
Villarreal
Espanyol		59.2%
18.2%		22.6%
+171
+180
+155
+185
1
0		-1.01448-0.98556-0.52367
Real Sociedad
Sevilla		25.6%
48.2%		26.2%
+206
+156
+200
+150
2
1		-1.13865-1.14816-1.36184
Getafe
Almería		36.5%
33.3%		30.2%
+336
+106
+300
+105
0
1		-0.74402-0.76692-1.10039
Barcelona
Osasuna		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-175
+529
-185
+510
2
1		-0.47435-0.47934-0.31837
Valladolid
Athletic Club		21.4%
53.2%		25.5%
+717
-225
+700
-250
0
3		-0.38840-0.38509-0.63205
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.61602 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.61795 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.72986
-0.11385
-0.11192

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.