Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+400
-140
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 17, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Osasuna
Real Sociedad 		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+300
-102
+315
-108
2.88
o2½-108
u2½-106
o2½-110
u2½-110
2nd H
47:00		0
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		48.2%
25.2%		26.5%
+140
+230
+135
+216
1
0		-0.89794-0.89845-0.72880
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad		50.6%
23.3%		26.1%
+177
+163
+180
+158
2
0		-1.05360-1.07455-0.68102
Villarreal
Osasuna		52.5%
23.6%		23.9%
+160
+157
+152
+175
1
1		-1.37706-1.37579-1.43054
Real Sociedad
Betis		52.1%
24.0%		23.9%
+145
+235
+145
+237
2
0		-0.92798-0.93578-0.65287
Celta Vigo
Granada		24.6%
50.3%		25.0%
+107
+298
+100
+308
2
1		-0.74347-0.72348-1.40238
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid		8.5%
75.0%		16.4%
+945
-305
+925
-300
4
1		-2.36905-2.35304-2.46322
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.1%
83.7%		11.2%
+880
-325
+810
-325
0
3		-0.30385-0.31563-0.17831
Sevilla
Athletic Club		52.4%
21.8%		25.8%
+525
-175
+500
-180
0
2		-0.48315-0.48568-1.52482
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
+121
+205
+118
+205
4
4		-1.40092-1.40307-1.39328
Las Palmas
Cadiz		24.4%
47.3%		28.2%
+350
-107
+355
-115
0
0		-1.26695-1.27140-1.26553
Getafe
Alavés		41.3%
28.8%		29.8%
+345
-108
+330
-108
0
1		-0.68866-0.70029-1.24316
Valencia
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.9%		23.4%
+725
-213
+670
-200
0
1		-0.41349-0.43951-0.59898
Barcelona
Almería		75.0%
9.3%		15.8%
-257
+625
-270
+640
2
0		-0.36288-0.36071-0.28834
Betis
Las Palmas		53.3%
22.4%		24.3%
+140
+222
+140
+215
2
2		-1.22373-1.21963-1.41420
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		40.5%
31.3%		28.2%
+245
+130
+226
+140
1
2		-0.86202-0.89715-1.16059
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		64.3%
13.0%		22.6%
-135
+415
-140
+410
3
0		-0.58562-0.58749-0.44124
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.78320 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.77683 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97996
-0.19676
-0.20313

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.