Atlético Madrid at Celta Vigo

Updated

Atlético Madrid

70.8%18.7%10.5%
Atlético Madrid WinDrawWin
2.10Projected Goals 0.66
1Final Score 0

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid
Money Line
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano-135
W 0-3 vs Valencia-278
W 1-0 at Athletic Club+165
T 0-0 vs Espanyol-397
T 2-2 at Villarreal+103
Celta Vigo
Money Line
L 1-3 at Athletic Club+346
W 1-3 vs Valladolid-150
L 2-3 at Osasuna+190
L 3-4 at Villarreal+375
W 1-3 vs Valencia+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+100--115-111--111-111-
Celta Vigo+260-+300+325-+325+325-
Draw+270-+270+265-+265+270-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid-110--108--130-110-108-
Celta Vigo+290-+313-+265+290+313-
Draw+270-+250-+245+270+270-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +100 to -105
Celta Vigo ML moved from +310 to +300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from -108 to -115
Celta Vigo ML moved from +321 to +313

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o2½-112o2½-113-o2½-113o2½-112-
Underu2¾-115-u2½-108u2½-107-u2½-107u2½-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-115o2½-105o2½-105-
Underu2½+120u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-112 to o2¾-105
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+115 to u2½-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.4%
 
No57.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.35%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 415.28%
Exactly 63.87%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.51%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 58.42%
Exactly 71.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 012.28%
Exactly 125.76%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.88%
Exactly 49.90%
Exactly 54.15%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 051.70%
Exactly 134.11%
Exactly 211.25%
Exactly 32.47%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.91%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 39.67%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 037.88%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 073.68%
Exactly 122.51%
Exactly 23.44%
Exactly 30.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals45.89%
Wins by 3+ goals24.27%
Wins by 4+ goals10.63%
Wins by 5+ goals3.93%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals2.59%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.91%
Wins by 2 goals21.62%
Wins by 3 goals13.64%
Wins by 4 goals6.71%
Wins by 5 goals2.69%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal7.83%
Wins by 2 goals2.13%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.65%6.35%
1.576.14%23.86%
2.552.02%47.98%
3.529.84%70.16%
4.514.56%85.44%
5.56.14%93.86%
6.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.72%12.28%
1.561.96%38.04%
2.534.95%65.05%
3.516.08%83.92%
4.56.18%93.82%
5.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.30%51.70%
1.514.19%85.81%
2.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.09%27.91%
1.536.48%63.52%
2.513.75%86.25%
3.54.08%95.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
6.35%
4.19%
1.38%
0.30%
1
13.32%
8.79%
2.90%
0.64%
2
13.96%
9.21%
3.04%
0.67%
3
9.76%
6.44%
2.12%
0.47%
4
5.12%
3.38%
1.11%
0.24%
5
2.15%
1.42%
0.47%
0.10%
Atlético Madrid
1-013.32%
2-013.96%
2-19.21%
3-09.76%
3-16.44%
3-22.12%
4-05.12%
4-13.38%
4-21.11%
4-30.24%
5-02.15%
5-11.42%
5-20.47%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-06.35%
1-18.79%
2-23.04%
3-30.47%
Celta Vigo
0-14.19%
0-21.38%
1-22.90%
0-30.30%
1-30.64%
2-30.67%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
27.91%
8.52%
1.30%
0.13%
1
27.09%
8.28%
1.26%
0.13%
2
13.15%
4.02%
0.61%
0.06%
3
4.26%
1.30%
0.20%
0.02%
4
1.03%
0.32%
0.05%
0.00%
5
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Atlético Madrid
1-027.09%
2-013.15%
2-14.02%
3-04.26%
3-11.30%
3-20.20%
4-01.03%
4-10.32%
5-00.20%
Draw
0-027.91%
1-18.28%
2-20.61%
Celta Vigo
0-18.52%
0-21.30%
1-21.26%
0-30.13%
1-30.13%