Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-125
+460
-120
+425
2.27
0.59		2.86
o2¼-108
u2¼-108
o2½+128
u2½-145
Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-110
+310
-110
+285
2.88
o3¼-122
u3½-120
o3½+102
u3½-120
2nd H
89:00		5
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.9%
8.6%		15.5%
-131
+417
-150
+410
2
3		-1.66294-1.68040-2.45877
Sevilla
Betis		59.5%
18.2%		22.3%
+290
+115
+265
+110
1
1		-1.23512-1.24573-1.50018
Valencia
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.9%		23.4%
+368
-104
+330
-110
1
1		-1.24119-1.27300-1.45085
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.0%		15.4%
+640
-185
+630
-210
1
1		-1.49308-1.48625-1.87028
Almería
Barcelona		6.7%
80.2%		13.1%
+2260
-850
+2100
-900
0
2		-0.13560-0.15483-0.22073
Osasuna
Celta Vigo		34.8%
37.0%		28.2%
+251
+126
+235
+130
2
1		-1.28381-1.25372-1.05509
Elche
Valladolid		28.1%
43.3%		28.5%
+330
-105
+315
-115
1
2		-0.68540-0.67433-0.83593
Cadiz
Getafe		21.0%
51.4%		27.6%
+333
+117
+270
+120
0
0		-1.13013-1.16648-1.28888
Getafe
Elche		44.2%
26.7%		29.2%
+212
+178
+200
+165
1
0		-1.14379-1.14709-0.81672
Getafe
Celta Vigo		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+532
-143
+510
-150
1
1		-1.30711-1.30122-1.20015
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+672
-230
+650
-240
0
4		-0.38447-0.39686-0.30491
Almería
Villarreal		15.5%
64.2%		20.3%
+806
-265
+725
-265
1
2		-0.34322-0.37021-0.44254
Atlético Madrid
Betis		69.1%
12.0%		18.9%
+145
+244
+135
+210
2
1		-0.91227-0.90429-0.36957
Elche
Espanyol		28.1%
43.0%		28.8%
+498
-151
+435
-150
2
2		-1.38782-1.38390-1.24445
Sevilla
Real Madrid		25.0%
48.5%		26.5%
+800
-253
+710
-265
1
3		-0.35374-0.36847-0.72365
Real Sociedad
Valladolid		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
-102
+332
-105
+300
0
1		-1.48122-1.43704-1.70926
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.61602 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.61795 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.72986
-0.11385
-0.11192

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.