Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+400
-140
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 17, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Cadiz
Real Madrid		6.3%
79.8%		13.9%
+885
-275
+800
-290
0
3		-0.34442-0.34579-0.22546
Las Palmas
Real Sociedad		8.2%
76.4%		15.3%
+1025
-300
+875
-295
0
2		-0.31840-0.34013-0.26885
Athletic Club
Getafe		33.9%
35.1%		30.9%
+118
+280
+110
+290
2
0		-0.81313-0.78794-1.08075
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+835
-315
+825
-305
2
4		-0.31057-0.32569-0.29296
Sevilla
Betis		59.5%
18.2%		22.3%
+315
+105
+290
+103
1
1		-1.25889-1.26603-1.50018
Rayo Vallecano
Villarreal		11.7%
70.6%		17.7%
+353
-120
+346
-125
0
3		-0.63175-0.62982-0.34845
Osasuna
Granada		27.1%
47.3%		25.6%
+240
+142
+240
+135
0
3		-0.91325-0.90084-0.74819
Athletic Club
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
69.6%		19.6%
+310
-102
+315
-110
1
3		-0.70958-0.69433-0.36268
Celta Vigo
Alavés		36.7%
34.0%		29.2%
+197
+170
+190
+170
0
3		-1.01749-1.03541-1.07752
Getafe
Almería		36.5%
33.3%		30.2%
+195
+160
+187
+160
3
1		-1.11261-1.08975-1.00747
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad		49.0%
25.6%		25.4%
+233
+135
+222
+140
1
0		-1.23412-1.20835-0.71282
Barcelona
Real Madrid		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+335
-138
+340
-138
2
3		-0.57887-0.57882-1.03877
Atlético Madrid
Alavés		73.9%
8.6%		17.5%
-125
+440
-125
+410
0
2		-1.71247-1.67815-2.45865
Villarreal
Almería		55.8%
21.0%		23.2%
-102
+257
-105
+250
2
1		-0.71184-0.71584-0.58429
Real Sociedad
Getafe		48.0%
25.0%		26.9%
+125
+280
+115
+301
1
1		-1.15002-1.14536-1.31264
Betis
Valencia		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+185
+177
+190
+173
2
1		-1.08119-1.10295-1.26954
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.