Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+265
+110
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-125
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+350
-125
+353
-126
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1100
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3-102
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano 		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
-125
+470
-135
+450
2.86
o2¼-108
u2¼-108
o2½+128
u2½-145
2nd H
70:00		1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Valladolid		59.1%
18.1%		22.8%
-102
+332
-105
+300
0
1		-1.48122-1.43704-1.70926
Cadiz
Rayo Vallecano		31.2%
39.2%		29.6%
+499
-135
+440
-140
1
5		-0.57714-0.59182-0.93570
Villarreal
Barcelona		15.9%
64.1%		19.9%
+600
-214
+555
-220
0
3		-0.41149-0.42629-0.44399
Espanyol
Osasuna		25.9%
47.2%		26.8%
+259
+130
+265
+110
0
1		-0.85189-0.79376-0.75012
Real Madrid
Elche		75.9%
8.3%		15.8%
-375
+1100
-380
+970
3
0		-0.26316-0.28412-0.27537
Celta Vigo
Valladolid		35.3%
35.2%		29.4%
+143
+235
+135
+225
1
4		-1.22745-1.22809-1.04285
Betis
Cadiz		43.2%
29.2%		27.5%
+123
+275
+115
+280
0
0		-1.20765-1.18101-1.28993
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid		5.8%
80.5%		13.7%
+590
-160
+610
-185
1
1		-1.37180-1.39659-1.98938
Athletic Club
Getafe		33.9%
35.1%		30.9%
-118
+405
-120
+380
2
2		-1.25243-1.25994-1.17393
Valencia
Sevilla		16.3%
61.7%		21.9%
+233
+130
+235
+125
1
1		-1.24199-1.22806-1.51681
Osasuna
Villarreal		17.5%
61.3%		21.1%
+402
-124
+380
-135
0
2		-0.61273-0.60259-0.48859
Almería
Betis		28.9%
45.1%		26.0%
+569
-174
+500
-180
1
3		-0.47644-0.49109-0.79709
Valladolid
Espanyol		31.6%
38.8%		29.6%
+297
+107
+275
+100
0
1		-0.74024-0.74421-0.94768
Barcelona
Real Madrid		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+210
+131
+200
+130
1
3		-0.85571-0.87414-1.03877
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		55.3%
21.0%		23.7%
+231
+149
+210
+155
2
1		-1.21696-1.15827-0.59229
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+243
+136
+235
+130
1
0		-1.25341-1.25846-0.46922
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.77723 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.79455 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.84478
-0.06755
-0.05023

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.