Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+265
+110
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-125
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+350
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1100
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3-102
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+243
+136
+235
+130
1
0		-1.25341-1.25846-0.46922
Elche
Valencia		18.5%
58.3%		23.2%
+701
-223
+620
-225
2
2		-1.58694-1.55613-1.46283
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
27.6%		28.7%
+403
-106
+340
-105
0
0		-1.19952-1.21382-1.24737
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+1011
-312
+910
-350
0
1		-0.28787-0.30077-0.22367
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		32.4%
41.1%		26.5%
+187
+174
+175
+160
0
1		-1.01979-1.00550-0.88916
Espanyol
Cadiz		33.8%
34.9%		31.3%
+174
+197
+165
+185
2
2		-1.16851-1.18097-1.16059
Betis
Valladolid		39.9%
32.6%		27.5%
+150
+208
+150
+185
0
0		-1.26720-1.25716-1.29131
Real Madrid
Getafe		64.0%
14.3%		21.6%
-215
+671
-210
+600
1
0		-0.40797-0.43841-0.44571
Athletic Club
Sevilla		16.3%
60.8%		22.9%
+135
+253
+120
+240
1
1		-1.24116-1.24434-1.47504
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+207
+165
+215
+135
2
1		-1.13147-1.19683-0.96874
Elche
Rayo Vallecano		31.0%
40.4%		28.6%
+554
-180
+575
-185
1
2		-0.47459-0.46418-0.90639
Osasuna
Real Madrid		9.2%
74.9%		15.8%
+769
-255
+750
-290
1
1		-1.69565-1.70860-1.84390
Betis
Celta Vigo		35.9%
36.5%		27.6%
+225
+147
+225
+135
0
1		-0.91522-0.90387-1.00736
Valencia
Espanyol		45.1%
27.7%		27.2%
+176
+187
+160
+180
2
2		-1.20761-1.21598-1.30243
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla		41.3%
28.9%		29.8%
+141
+239
+135
+225
2
0		-0.90468-0.90387-0.88399
Valladolid
Getafe		23.7%
48.4%		27.8%
+242
+146
+240
+130
3
2		-1.25089-1.27397-1.44003
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90533 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.91939 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08775
-0.18242
-0.16836

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.