Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+400
-140
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 17, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano		42.3%
30.4%		27.3%
+325
+115
+320
+110
1
2		-0.79334-0.78220-1.19109
Las Palmas
Celta Vigo		19.1%
56.9%		24.0%
+460
-147
+460
-150
1
4		-0.54863-0.55172-0.56449
Granada
Athletic Club		32.4%
39.8%		27.8%
+1000
-340
+1050
-360
1
1		-1.80042-1.81327-1.27834
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+240
+144
+245
+140
1
0		-1.25509-1.27744-0.96874
Almería
Real Sociedad		15.3%
64.0%		20.7%
+1140
-335
+1129
-350
2
2		-1.75169-1.74491-1.57644
Villarreal
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.4%		26.4%
+455
-163
+438
-165
1
1		-1.49063-1.47142-1.33143
Alavés
Granada		20.3%
55.7%		23.9%
+165
+205
+190
+175
0
2		-1.14256-1.04728-0.58456
Sevilla
Las Palmas		74.8%
8.5%		16.7%
+162
+195
+160
+189
2
0		-0.98216-0.99774-0.29099
Barcelona
Cadiz		78.3%
7.1%		14.6%
+100
+290
+110
+310
1
0		-0.72902-0.75184-0.24421
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
27.6%		28.7%
+274
+133
+273
+130
0
0		-1.16133-1.14097-1.24737
Celta Vigo
Betis		29.2%
44.8%		26.0%
+345
-110
+300
-105
1
2		-0.67109-0.70824-0.80399
Valencia
Granada		32.3%
40.7%		27.0%
+150
+221
+145
+215
1
0		-0.94487-0.94415-1.12945
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal		51.4%
23.1%		25.5%
+110
+255
+120
+210
2
1		-0.76970-0.83829-0.66582
Athletic Club
Real Madrid		11.8%
69.3%		18.8%
+490
-175
+475
-165
0
2		-0.48711-0.50785-0.36619
Real Sociedad
Alavés		60.4%
17.2%		22.4%
+120
+305
+120
+290
1
0		-0.81735-0.83718-0.50382
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo		25.9%
47.7%		26.4%
+347
-107
+340
-106
0
0		-1.29916-1.26954-1.33287
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.