Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+400
-140
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 17, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Las Palmas
Barcelona		3.8%
86.5%		9.6%
+975
-385
+925
-390
0
1		-0.26635-0.26904-0.14466
Osasuna
Almería		35.1%
36.6%		28.3%
+200
+150
+190
+155
3
0		-1.13345-1.10660-1.04660
Sevilla
Getafe		54.9%
19.3%		25.7%
+200
+167
+205
+160
1
0		-1.13271-1.14662-0.59904
Granada
Cadiz		48.6%
24.7%		26.7%
+410
-115
+390
-110
0
1		-0.65913-0.67708-1.39748
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+215
+127
+201
+130
3
0		-1.18182-1.14948-1.09383
Betis
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
29.9%		26.4%
+212
+155
+210
+159
0
2		-0.96972-0.98755-1.20735
Valencia
Villarreal		21.9%
54.9%		23.2%
+240
+123
+235
+121
0
1		-0.83635-0.83711-0.59915
Celta Vigo
Sevilla		11.6%
69.5%		18.9%
+305
-102
+318
-110
2
1		-1.42795-1.47408-2.15305
Alavés
Athletic Club		20.4%
54.5%		25.1%
+590
-165
+570
-175
0
2		-0.50405-0.49635-0.60624
Real Madrid
Osasuna		68.3%
12.8%		18.8%
-205
+635
-209
+560
4
2		-0.42256-0.43990-0.38056
Cadiz
Real Sociedad		11.6%
69.3%		19.0%
+900
-227
+850
-230
0
2		-0.39141-0.40330-0.36636
Sevilla
Almería		62.3%
15.7%		22.0%
+120
+247
+120
+245
2
2		-1.26624-1.26160-1.51336
Villarreal
Betis		52.1%
24.3%		23.5%
+244
+115
+240
+113
3
2		-1.26121-1.26805-0.65143
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid		8.3%
76.6%		15.1%
+875
-300
+850
-307
0
4		-0.30673-0.32251-0.26606
Athletic Club
Las Palmas		57.3%
18.6%		24.1%
-124
+400
-120
+370
2
0		-0.62224-0.65151-0.55760
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés		30.2%
41.2%		28.5%
+315
+113
+315
+118
0
1		-0.78862-0.80133-0.88608
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.