Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+290
+110
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-124
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-118
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1320
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Cadiz		62.3%
16.0%		21.7%
-131
+424
-140
+430
0
0		-1.35000-1.34977-1.52836
Almería
Athletic Club		24.3%
49.6%		26.1%
+844
-257
+750
-265
0
4		-0.35221-0.37086-0.70136
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid		29.4%
41.8%		28.8%
+149
+225
+140
+210
2
1		-0.92452-0.92591-1.22516
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+454
-135
+440
-150
1
2		-0.56891-0.56138-0.40294
Sevilla
Villarreal		40.0%
32.4%		27.6%
+407
-125
+400
-135
1
1		-1.33112-1.34205-1.28627
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+565
-139
+480
-140
2
0		-1.91617-1.81070-1.08631
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club		19.2%
57.0%		23.8%
+548
-154
+530
-175
2
3		-0.51345-0.50221-0.56250
Celta Vigo
Valencia		24.7%
50.0%		25.2%
+259
+141
+230
+130
0
3		-0.89970-0.88201-0.69241
Elche
Barcelona		5.0%
83.6%		11.4%
+3623
-1231
+2500
-1300
0
3		-0.10865-0.12324-0.17955
Cadiz
Valladolid		28.4%
42.2%		29.3%
+324
+108
+310
+100
1
0		-1.45526-1.46132-1.25839
Osasuna
Almería		35.1%
36.6%		28.3%
+165
+200
+155
+200
1
0		-0.99371-0.98305-1.04660
Villarreal
Betis		52.1%
24.3%		23.5%
+147
+207
+140
+190
0
1		-1.14194-1.11480-1.41387
Real Sociedad
Getafe		48.0%
25.0%		26.9%
+108
+342
+105
+315
1
2		-1.50643-1.47320-1.38470
Athletic Club
Elche		48.8%
24.3%		26.9%
-119
+390
-125
+360
4
1		-0.63042-0.63726-0.71719
Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid		7.6%
76.6%		15.8%
+440
-120
+425
-115
1
4		-0.61530-0.64082-0.26694
Barcelona
Cadiz		78.3%
7.1%		14.6%
-285
+921
-310
+825
4
0		-0.32388-0.32780-0.24421
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90533 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.91939 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08775
-0.18242
-0.16836

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.