Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+290
+114
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-124
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+104
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Espanyol		65.1%
13.6%		21.4%
+201
+160
+180
+165
3
2		-1.12433-1.08028-0.42995
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		49.0%
25.4%		25.7%
+190
+180
+180
+170
1
2		-1.04888-1.04214-1.37184
Almería
Valladolid		35.0%
35.5%		29.5%
+244
+130
+230
+125
0
1		-0.84404-0.86022-1.03488
Getafe
Valencia		28.8%
42.7%		28.4%
+380
-102
+365
-110
1
5		-0.70037-0.69671-0.85003
Elche
Villarreal		11.4%
70.8%		17.8%
+791
-245
+750
-265
0
4		-0.36248-0.36883-0.34503
Espanyol
Athletic Club		21.3%
53.0%		25.7%
+611
-186
+620
-205
1
0		-1.98217-2.02473-1.54806
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		23.6%
51.3%		25.0%
+320
+118
+300
+115
1
2		-0.79649-0.81276-0.66699
Barcelona
Sevilla		45.3%
27.8%		26.9%
-129
+390
-145
+400
3
0		-0.59426-0.57164-0.79275
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad		50.6%
23.3%		26.1%
+176
+203
+175
+175
1
1		-1.14178-1.18006-1.34209
Betis
Real Madrid		9.5%
75.1%		15.4%
+715
-252
+670
-280
1
2		-0.35281-0.35599-0.28638
Cadiz
Celta Vigo		25.4%
47.2%		27.5%
+582
-154
+500
-160
0
3		-0.52332-0.53652-0.75165
Atlético Madrid
Valencia		63.6%
14.7%		21.7%
+101
+333
-110
+335
1
0		-0.71879-0.69752-0.45224
Athletic Club
Cadiz		47.5%
24.6%		27.9%
+110
+312
+105
+310
4
0		-0.76363-0.76585-0.74522
Real Madrid
Espanyol		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-178
+550
-210
+515
3
1		-0.43996-0.44091-0.31605
Valladolid
Barcelona		5.9%
81.6%		12.6%
+1904
-669
+1700
-750
0
4		-0.16689-0.17605-0.20386
Villarreal
Getafe		48.2%
25.4%		26.4%
-133
+451
-135
+425
0
0		-1.33264-1.30221-1.33219
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90533 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.91939 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08775
-0.18242
-0.16836

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.