Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+290
+114
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-124
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+104
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Almería		62.3%
15.7%		22.0%
+118
+268
+120
+250
1
2		-1.32385-1.29960-1.85304
Real Sociedad
Elche		63.1%
15.5%		21.4%
+118
+295
+105
+300
1
0		-0.79412-0.76692-0.45986
Osasuna
Betis		31.9%
41.7%		26.4%
+377
-116
+335
-115
0
1		-0.64434-0.67495-0.87527
Almería
Elche		39.2%
31.9%		28.9%
+240
+139
+220
+140
1
1		-1.19869-1.18185-1.24278
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		54.6%
21.8%		23.5%
+111
+275
+105
+265
4
1		-0.76798-0.76040-0.60451
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid		17.4%
60.0%		22.7%
+361
-107
+350
-115
2
0		-1.55084-1.55405-1.75094
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+495
-143
+420
-145
0
1		-0.55316-0.57752-0.91917
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.5%
11.4%		18.0%
-147
+435
-160
+400
4
1		-0.53348-0.53495-0.34910
Cadiz
Osasuna		23.2%
50.6%		26.3%
+394
-107
+370
-115
0
2		-0.67670-0.67515-0.68181
Valladolid
Sevilla		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+639
-184
+600
-200
1
1		-1.45616-1.46305-1.71153
Elche
Betis		22.2%
53.5%		24.3%
+534
-160
+520
-180
0
3		-0.49666-0.48595-0.62640
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		64.3%
13.0%		22.6%
-115
+495
-120
+450
3
0		-0.63913-0.65479-0.44124
Real Madrid
Almería		70.7%
11.3%		18.0%
-221
+642
-230
+575
2
1		-0.39432-0.41308-0.34677
Real Sociedad
Cadiz		61.9%
15.9%		22.2%
+124
+307
+120
+270
1
0		-0.81602-0.83979-0.47899
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.1%
83.7%		11.2%
+1500
-500
+1500
-575
0
0		-2.04369-2.03792-2.19086
Villarreal
Valladolid		59.3%
18.3%		22.4%
+100
+290
-105
+280
3
0		-0.72677-0.71719-0.52214
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90533 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.91939 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08775
-0.18242
-0.16836

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.