Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+400
-140
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 17, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlético Madrid
Almería		71.0%
10.3%		18.7%
-130
+450
-152
+500
2
2		-1.38894-1.43389-1.67756
Getafe
Barcelona		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+685
-240
+660
-253
0
4		-0.38299-0.38025-0.28842
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		32.4%
41.1%		26.5%
+484
-160
+450
-155
3
1		-1.79480-1.74669-1.12676
Alavés
Betis		24.4%
50.4%		25.1%
+230
+144
+235
+135
0
0		-1.16848-1.17697-1.38059
Almería
Granada		24.3%
50.6%		25.0%
+239
+124
+250
+120
1
1		-1.26915-1.25124-1.38438
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.9%
8.6%		15.5%
-150
+465
-150
+450
1
1		-1.38802-1.42520-1.86124
Sevilla
Valencia		53.3%
21.9%		24.9%
+257
+127
+245
+127
0
0		-1.19574-1.19412-1.39191
Barcelona
Celta Vigo		74.6%
9.4%		15.9%
-108
+295
-103
+280
2
1		-0.69033-0.71164-0.29236
Cadiz
Osasuna		23.2%
50.6%		26.3%
+440
-123
+425
-120
0
2		-0.62540-0.63575-0.68181
Las Palmas
Atlético Madrid		4.3%
83.8%		11.9%
+675
-212
+670
-210
0
5		-0.41668-0.42647-0.17707
Getafe
Villarreal		19.3%
57.0%		23.7%
+270
+108
+290
+100
1
1		-1.29299-1.30435-1.43944
Athletic Club
Almería		40.8%
31.0%		28.2%
-120
+389
-125
+400
0
0		-1.34611-1.33382-1.26422
Granada
Barcelona		9.7%
74.6%		15.7%
+1580
-585
+1250
-553
3
3		-2.14439-2.12436-1.85247
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla		41.3%
28.9%		29.8%
+105
+293
+102
+275
0
1		-1.38850-1.36422-1.24219
Celta Vigo
Getafe		27.0%
44.7%		28.3%
+285
+121
+265
+120
2
3		-0.82720-0.83729-0.80524
Valencia
Las Palmas		58.2%
18.6%		23.2%
+222
+162
+210
+160
0
2		-0.98843-1.00286-1.68061
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.