Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+290
+114
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-124
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Espanyol
Celta Vigo		28.2%
43.8%		27.9%
+312
-110
+300
-115
2
2		-1.35441-1.37200-1.27515
Athletic Club
Sevilla		16.3%
60.8%		22.9%
+173
+186
+160
+185
0
1		-1.07236-1.09419-0.49821
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad		50.6%
23.3%		26.1%
+187
+170
+165
+175
2
1		-1.08046-1.02210-0.68102
Villarreal
Barcelona		15.9%
64.1%		19.9%
+281
-104
+270
-110
2
0		-1.35903-1.35759-1.83759
Espanyol
Granada		21.2%
54.2%		24.5%
+685
-220
+650
-240
0
0		-1.60639-1.60664-1.40527
Cadiz
Alavés		29.5%
40.8%		29.7%
-132
+385
-135
+380
1
0		-0.59063-0.59597-1.22122
Getafe
Elche		44.2%
26.7%		29.2%
+163
+223
+165
+210
1
3		-1.19647-1.18097-1.32231
Celta Vigo
Valencia		24.7%
50.0%		25.2%
+182
+170
+175
+165
0
2		-1.01647-1.02210-0.69241
Levante
Rayo Vallecano		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+324
-120
+315
-125
4
2		-1.47238-1.47159-0.72927
Betis
Real Madrid		9.5%
75.1%		15.4%
+460
-180
+420
-165
0
0		-1.62420-1.55789-1.86840
Real Sociedad
Villarreal		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+266
+123
+255
+115
2
1		-1.30482-1.31557-1.10924
Alavés
Levante		21.2%
54.8%		24.0%
+135
+195
+145
+185
1
3		-1.10912-1.07978-0.60181
Real Madrid
Cadiz		74.9%
8.6%		16.5%
+160
+189
+145
+185
1
1		-1.28931-1.28609-1.79897
Barcelona
Getafe		68.7%
11.9%		19.4%
+118
+270
+115
+265
0
0		-1.25495-1.21345-1.63969
Elche
Celta Vigo		25.0%
48.3%		26.7%
+860
-265
+825
-300
0
1		-0.34207-0.33687-0.72737
Granada
Betis		37.8%
35.3%		26.8%
+501
-179
+510
-195
0
2		-0.46794-0.46488-1.04112
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90533 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.91939 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08775
-0.18242
-0.16836

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.