Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+400
-140
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 17, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+520
-133
+460
-130
1
0		-1.85912-1.76422-1.75054
Villarreal
Alavés		60.7%
17.4%		21.9%
+250
+120
+238
+120
1
1		-1.27841-1.25671-1.51759
Betis
Cadiz		43.2%
29.2%		27.5%
+162
+194

2
0		-0.99225-0.83836
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid		33.7%
36.3%		30.0%
+409
-147
+400
-145
1
1		-1.48250-1.45171-1.20547
Getafe
Betis		33.5%
37.9%		28.6%
+331
+104
+320
-103
1
1		-1.20811-1.24129-1.25211
Celta Vigo
Osasuna		29.7%
43.2%		27.1%
+298
+115
+290
+115
3
0		-1.41453-1.40817-1.21433
Cadiz
Villarreal		11.7%
69.7%		18.6%
+495
-158
+466
-165
0
0		-1.45350-1.45329-1.68368
Barcelona
Alavés		77.7%
7.6%		14.7%
-115
+343
-107
+300
3
1		-0.65971-0.70360-0.25279
Las Palmas
Granada		13.6%
66.5%		19.9%
+265
+115
+270
+116
1
1		-1.25642-1.22953-1.61355
Almería
Valencia		24.4%
50.3%		25.2%
+435
-140
+430
-145
1
2		-0.57322-0.56727-0.68663
Real Madrid
Getafe		64.0%
14.3%		21.6%
-170
+545
-177
+560
2
0		-0.49671-0.48170-0.44571
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid		5.8%
80.5%		13.7%
+545
-160
+550
-160
1
2		-0.50572-0.50456-0.21712
Osasuna
Barcelona		7.6%
78.5%		13.9%
+785
-296
+730
-290
0
1		-0.32633-0.33651-0.24184
Granada
Getafe		34.7%
35.6%		29.7%
+410
-115
+390
-125
0
2		-0.64550-0.62982-1.03254
Valencia
Atlético Madrid		10.7%
70.7%		18.6%
+528
-168
+545
-183
0
2		-0.49658-0.47773-0.34698
Osasuna
Sevilla		13.0%
67.3%		19.7%
+296
+110
+288
+115
1
1		-1.22946-1.20875-1.62547
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.