Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+400
-140
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 17, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Cadiz		47.5%
24.6%		27.9%
-115
+410
-108
+395
0
0		-1.24852-1.23901-1.27740
Villarreal
Barcelona		15.9%
64.1%		19.9%
+650
-270
+560
-250
5
3		-2.04981-1.93199-1.83759
Real Madrid
Las Palmas		80.7%
6.1%		13.2%
-215
+635
-225
+610
2
1		-0.40849-0.40837-0.21446
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad		11.7%
70.2%		18.1%
+477
-125
+522
-150
0
0		-1.22533-1.30236-1.71092
Alavés
Almería		27.5%
44.9%		27.5%
+173
+187
+175
+179
3
0		-1.03598-1.05527-1.29026
Atlético Madrid
Granada		63.6%
14.8%		21.6%
-155
+430
-164
+450
1
0		-0.52916-0.51748-0.45190
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
-119
+310
-120
+305
4
2		-0.64476-0.64466-0.31492
Almería
Real Madrid		8.2%
76.8%		15.1%
+2250
-810
+2000
-800
2
3		-0.15052-0.15870-0.26460
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+263
+142
+258
+140
2
3		-0.91108-0.91549-1.00832
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		55.3%
21.0%		23.7%
+236
+155
+230
+195
1
0		-1.23588-1.17474-0.59229
Athletic Club
Valencia		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+125
+253
+122
+250
0
1		-1.29609-1.29569-0.91917
Cadiz
Alavés		29.5%
40.8%		29.7%
+585
-160
+540
-145
0
1		-0.52025-0.55387-0.89749
Valencia
Cadiz		48.3%
24.8%		26.9%
+175
+213
+170
+208
4
1		-1.04149-1.02123-0.72805
Granada
Betis		37.8%
35.3%		26.8%
+428
-140
+410
-138
0
1		-0.56771-0.58672-1.04112
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club		45.2%
28.1%		26.7%
+315
+113
+305
+110
1
2		-0.78364-0.77692-1.27090
Villarreal
Las Palmas		70.7%
11.4%		17.8%
+167
+168
+170
+175
0
3		-1.01866-1.04358-2.16910
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.