Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+290
+114
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-124
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid		22.7%
49.8%		27.5%
+400
+100
+365
-105
1
1		-1.16251-1.18003-1.29157
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+620
-203
+610
-220
0
2		-0.42875-0.42402-0.77187
Valencia
Espanyol		45.1%
27.7%		27.2%
+163
+185
+160
+180
1
1		-1.24448-1.22693-1.30243
Levante
Real Madrid		11.2%
71.7%		17.1%
+560
-223
+530
-240
0
6		-0.38384-0.39692-0.33279
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		63.0%
16.2%		20.8%
-109
+340
-115
+330
5
1		-0.66916-0.67749-0.46191
Cadiz
Real Sociedad		11.6%
69.3%		19.0%
+575
-156
+575
-175
0
3		-0.51512-0.49855-0.36636
Atlético Madrid
Elche		75.7%
7.7%		16.6%
-175
+653
-185
+575
2
0		-0.46616-0.48133-0.27844
Getafe
Osasuna		33.7%
36.5%		29.8%
+243
+166
+225
+160
1
1		-1.06552-1.08960-1.21204
Espanyol
Alavés		32.4%
37.6%		30.0%
+277
+115
+265
+110
1
2		-0.78548-0.78946-0.97942
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+684
-225
+625
-260
1
3		-0.37448-0.37481-0.22367
Athletic Club
Granada		32.0%
40.2%		27.8%
+123
+275
+125
+230
0
1		-1.32501-1.24320-0.91220
Betis
Valencia		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+127
+247
+120
+235
3
0		-0.83817-0.83873-1.26954
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid		29.4%
41.8%		28.8%
+375
-120
+380
-130
0
1		-0.62442-0.62060-0.87208
Osasuna
Espanyol		38.5%
32.7%		28.8%
+223
+141
+215
+135
1
1		-1.23805-1.22809-1.24361
Sevilla
Villarreal		40.0%
32.4%		27.6%
+280
+117
+255
+110
1
1		-1.24171-1.27447-1.28627
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe		21.5%
52.3%		26.2%
+295
+128
+305
+110
0
0		-1.13013-1.16488-1.33758
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90533 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.91939 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08775
-0.18242
-0.16836

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.