Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+290
+114
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-124
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Betis		73.0%
10.8%		16.2%
+131
+210
+105
+230
2
1		-0.85915-0.76718-0.31492
Elche
Cadiz		30.6%
39.0%		30.3%
+485
-144
+400
-140
0
3		-0.54473-0.58780-0.94107
Alavés
Celta Vigo		27.2%
45.3%		27.4%
+412
-122
+390
-130
0
4		-0.62105-0.62027-0.79138
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+817
-225
+730
-215
0
0		-1.54117-1.48452-1.27322
Real Sociedad
Levante		47.2%
27.5%		25.3%
+125
+249
+110
+240
1
2		-1.26330-1.27447-1.29128
Betis
Getafe		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+177
+192
+165
+190
0
0		-1.16816-1.16398-1.27386
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+117
+291
+120
+280
1
1		-1.20909-1.19290-1.55159
Celta Vigo
Granada		24.6%
50.3%		25.0%
+169
+190
+155
+190
1
1		-1.23440-1.21147-1.38482
Osasuna
Elche		42.9%
29.3%		27.8%
+191
+177
+185
+170
1
1		-1.17798-1.18538-1.28049
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+198
+190
+180
+175
0
2		-1.07725-1.06430-1.91501
Levante
Valencia		31.7%
41.8%		26.4%
+276
+117
+260
+110
1
1		-1.26521-1.27072-1.33192
Espanyol
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+625
-209
+600
-220
0
4		-0.40720-0.42593-0.24382
Villarreal
Alavés		60.7%
17.4%		21.9%
+130
+250
+115
+250
1
2		-1.25977-1.30523-1.74979
Cadiz
Sevilla		8.8%
73.5%		17.7%
+667
-183
+575
-180
1
1		-1.41486-1.39756-1.73161
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona		5.1%
83.7%		11.2%
+950
-335
+950
-350
1
0		-2.38705-2.40163-2.96792
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		54.6%
21.8%		23.5%
+127
+238
+115
+235
1
0		-0.83386-0.81758-0.60451
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.90533 
Sportsbooks42-0-2 (0.750)0-0.91939 
DRatings42-0-2 (0.750)0-1.08775
-0.18242
-0.16836

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.