Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+400
-140
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½-105
u2½-112
o2½-105
u2½-110
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alavés
Sevilla		9.4%
72.9%		17.6%
+315
+107
+335
+102
3
2		-1.44545-1.49335-2.36032
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+209
+140
+192
+140
2
3		-0.90113-0.92329-0.44613
Las Palmas
Athletic Club		13.8%
65.2%		21.0%
+828
-271
+800
-272
0
1		-0.34415-0.34534-0.42826
Almería
Barcelona		6.7%
80.2%		13.1%
+1800
-680
+1450
-665
2
3		-0.17094-0.18706-0.22073
Sevilla
Granada		53.2%
22.0%		24.7%
+156
+205
+158
+192
3
0		-0.97054-0.98948-0.63059
Getafe
Atlético Madrid		9.6%
70.8%		19.5%
+690
-205
+750
-210
3
3		-1.54201-1.53842-1.63399
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		49.0%
25.4%		25.7%
+262
+127
+255
+125
1
0		-1.31067-1.31449-0.71402
Villarreal
Real Madrid		19.1%
58.7%		22.1%
+1075
-393
+1400
-460
1
4		-0.24859-0.20972-0.53237
Cadiz
Las Palmas		38.9%
30.8%		30.3%
+344
+101
+339
+100
1
1		-1.21936-1.20267-1.19260
Betis
Real Sociedad		17.9%
61.0%		21.1%
+525
-166
+540
-185
0
0		-1.45337-1.44970-1.55523
Barcelona
Valencia		67.8%
13.4%		18.8%
-182
+537
-170
+475
1
1		-1.52317-1.51195-1.67216
Getafe
Sevilla		14.4%
62.8%		22.7%
+415
-118
+400
-125
3
0		-1.65601-1.65795-1.93454
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+190
+161
+190
+148
0
2		-0.98120-0.94546-1.91501
Granada
Celta Vigo		41.3%
31.5%		27.1%
+445
-142
+431
-150
0
1		-0.56072-0.55147-1.15414
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna		23.6%
51.3%		25.0%
+277
+125
+286
+120
0
1		-0.82817-0.81423-0.66699
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano		38.9%
32.7%		28.4%
+180
+174
+178
+170
0
0		-1.21875-1.21574-1.25998
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.