Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+290
+114
+284
+102
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-124
u2+105
o2-125
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1250
-535
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-118
u3-102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Cadiz		47.5%
24.6%		27.9%
+162
+230
+150
+235
3
2		-0.98104-0.94763-0.74522
Sevilla
Levante		54.9%
21.2%		24.0%
+125
+257
+120
+240
3
2		-0.83200-0.83884-0.60017
Real Madrid
Osasuna		68.3%
12.8%		18.8%
-107
+330
-125
+350
3
1		-0.67244-0.63824-0.38056
Getafe
Celta Vigo		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+333
+113
+325
+105
2
0		-1.48629-1.49665-1.01492
Granada
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
70.7%		18.4%
+860
-261
+800
-275
0
0		-1.67568-1.65292-1.69038
Valencia
Villarreal		21.9%
54.9%		23.2%
+878
-297
+850
-275
0
2		-0.31478-0.33037-0.59915
Elche
Betis		22.2%
53.5%		24.3%
+727
-213
+650
-205
1
0		-2.13555-2.04222-1.50283
Cadiz
Barcelona		5.2%
82.6%		12.2%
+1650
-599
+1450
-600
1
0		-2.88957-2.79018-2.95152
Real Madrid
Sevilla		39.7%
31.7%		28.6%
+155
+198
+145
+195
3
2		-0.95602-0.94505-0.92337
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+436
-130
+400
-130
2
0		-1.70364-1.65910-1.40255
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.0%		15.4%
+1027
-279
+910
-280
1
2		-0.32934-0.35726-0.24894
Levante
Granada		31.6%
42.1%		26.3%
+226
+137
+210
+130
4
1		-1.20011-1.18159-1.15157
Villarreal
Getafe		48.2%
25.4%		26.4%
+144
+250
+150
+205
2
1		-0.91202-0.96551-0.72965
Osasuna
Valencia		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+263
+127
+260
+120
2
1		-1.31082-1.32479-1.30210
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés		30.2%
41.2%		28.5%
+185
+190
+180
+180
0
1		-1.08282-1.07614-0.88608
Betis
Real Sociedad		17.9%
61.0%		21.1%
+313
+100
+290
+100
0
0		-1.30063-1.27307-1.55523
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.84645 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.86410 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-1.03739
-0.19094
-0.17329

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.