Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+295
+113
+280
+110
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-116
u2+105
o2-110
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+370
-135
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-120
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1250
-520
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-120
u3+102
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano		49.0%
25.4%		25.7%
+230
+143
+225
+140
1
1		-1.20068-1.18836-1.36039
Barcelona
Levante		69.3%
12.8%		17.9%
-218
+630
-235
+600
3
2		-0.40140-0.40184-0.36674
Real Sociedad
Elche		63.1%
15.5%		21.4%
-115
+390
-115
+375
2
1		-0.64615-0.65635-0.45986
Celta Vigo
Espanyol		35.3%
35.0%		29.7%
+170
+192
+160
+190
0
1		-1.09282-1.11541-1.04996
Alavés
Osasuna		24.9%
48.7%		26.3%
+319
+105
+330
-105
0
1		-0.74602-0.72017-0.71879
Getafe
Real Madrid		10.5%
71.0%		18.5%
+798
-229
+750
-250
0
2		-0.37796-0.38462-0.34277
Athletic Club
Villarreal		21.8%
54.2%		24.0%
+193
+172
+190
+165
1
1		-1.18869-1.18630-1.42820
Betis
Cadiz		43.2%
29.2%		27.5%
+135
+252
+125
+240
2
1		-0.86974-0.86074-0.83836
Granada
Sevilla		16.4%
61.7%		21.8%
+790
-225
+750
-240
2
4		-0.38063-0.39304-0.48250
Espanyol
Real Sociedad		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+610
-174
+550
-180
0
1		-0.47366-0.49359-0.40294
Sevilla
Barcelona		21.4%
54.2%		24.4%
+741
-224
+700
-240
0
1		-0.38969-0.40004-0.61304
Cadiz
Valencia		18.9%
56.9%		24.1%
+313
+112
+280
+115
0
0		-1.22122-1.18101-1.42142
Rayo Vallecano
Granada		19.1%
58.2%		22.8%
+188
+186
+180
+170
2
2		-1.15068-1.18026-1.47959
Osasuna
Betis		31.9%
41.7%		26.4%
+342
-102
+335
-110
1
4		-0.70413-0.69752-0.87527
Elche
Athletic Club		18.5%
57.4%		24.1%
+725
-207
+700
-215
1
2		-0.41167-0.43209-0.55520
Alavés
Atlético Madrid		6.3%
78.9%		14.8%
+925
-255
+850
-275
1
4		-0.35267-0.35810-0.23739
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.96826 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.98526 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.20261
-0.23434
-0.21735

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.