Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-130
+283
-128
+270
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3¾-112
u3¾-102
o3½-135
u3½+115
Rayo Vallecano
Elche 		32.5%
38.3%		29.2%
+235
+139
+235
+140
1.04
1.15		2.19
o2-125
u2+108
o2-125
u2+105
Getafe
Betis 		33.5%
37.9%		28.6%
+470
-137
+460
-145
1.09
1.18		2.27
o2-122
u2+107
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.5%
11.4%		18.0%
-125
+355
-120
+350
1
0		-0.61904-0.62995-0.34910
Real Sociedad
Las Palmas		70.4%
11.4%		18.3%
-105
+370
+100
+333
0
0		-1.23429-1.22734-1.69947
Rayo Vallecano
Granada		19.1%
58.2%		22.8%
+172
+191
+165
+190
2
0		-1.03392-1.00586-1.65763
Sevilla
Alavés		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
+148
+235
+140
+250
3
4		-1.23812-1.28258-2.04616
Atlético Madrid
Betis		69.1%
12.0%		18.9%
+105
+281
+104
+285
0
0		-1.30859-1.27740-1.66627
Cadiz
Barcelona		5.2%
82.6%		12.2%
+1200
-405
+1250
-425
0
2		-0.25521-0.25039-0.19120
Athletic Club
Osasuna		37.5%
33.9%		28.6%
+175
+196
+178
+185
2
0		-1.04580-1.06543-0.98152
Real Madrid
Almería		70.7%
11.3%		18.0%
-240
+605
-245
+675
3
1		-0.38236-0.37151-0.34677
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad		15.5%
63.8%		20.7%
+525
-145
+475
-148
1
1		-1.32021-1.32825-1.57552
Las Palmas
Valencia		13.7%
66.2%		20.1%
+533
-168
+550
-180
0
1		-0.50127-0.49050-0.41309
Granada
Atlético Madrid		10.8%
70.7%		18.4%
+945
-315
+880
-330
1
3		-0.30248-0.31409-0.34620
Alavés
Cadiz		32.9%
36.2%		30.9%
+286
+128
+265
+130
0
1		-0.85470-0.87955-1.01495
Barcelona
Getafe		68.7%
11.9%		19.4%
-195
+640
-185
+575
0
0		-1.46512-1.42296-1.63969
Betis
Villarreal		18.1%
61.2%		20.8%
+375
-137
+355
-135
2
1		-1.59008-1.56456-1.71064
Osasuna
Celta Vigo		34.8%
37.0%		28.2%
+295
+112
+290
+115
2
0		-1.40125-1.39922-1.05509
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
+116
+245
+118
+235
2
0		-0.80403-0.82533-0.48056
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76424 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.77355 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.93937
-0.17513
-0.16582

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.