Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+411
-137
+410
-144
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½+102
u2½-117
o2½-105
u2½-115
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+520
-153
+480
-160
2
2		-1.40222-1.40421-1.27322
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+144
+241
+135
+235
2
2		-1.16774-1.18807-1.55159
Osasuna
Betis		31.9%
41.7%		26.4%
+315
+111
+313
+100
1
2		-0.75143-0.72875-0.87527
Sevilla
Cadiz		67.3%
12.0%		20.7%
+132
+290
+115
+275
2
2		-1.21743-1.23881-1.57344
Real Madrid
Barcelona		28.2%
45.7%		26.1%
+178
+157
+171
+160
2
1		-1.04282-1.03167-1.26510
Cadiz
Valencia		18.9%
56.9%		24.1%
+490
-147
+475
-140
0
2		-0.55326-0.57343-0.56326
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+333
-113
+330
-118
0
1		-0.66027-0.65352-0.30491
Alavés
Villarreal		12.7%
68.5%		18.8%
+308
+108
+300
+105
1
1		-1.25393-1.29638-1.66961
Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.8%
10.5%		18.7%
+123
+248
+118
+250
3
0		-0.81932-0.81303-0.34487
Real Madrid
Sevilla		39.7%
31.7%		28.6%
-134
+385
-135
+375
1
1		-1.43532-1.44872-1.25320
Betis
Getafe		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+236
+146
+220
+145
1
1		-1.16873-1.17151-1.27386
Granada
Osasuna		38.3%
34.3%		27.4%
+447
-143
+405
-145
0
2		-0.55314-0.56664-1.07137
Barcelona
Granada		67.8%
13.5%		18.7%
-229
+612
-250
+610
2
2		-1.69255-1.69500-1.67649
Getafe
Celta Vigo		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+340
+105
+335
+100
2
2		-1.21611-1.19369-1.20015
Betis
Alavés		41.4%
31.3%		27.3%
+208
+157
+190
+165
1
1		-1.19991-1.20811-1.29942
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid		17.6%
59.1%		23.3%
+332
+102
+340
+103
1
2		-0.72354-0.73068-0.52523
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76138 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.75003 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.81731
-0.05593
-0.06728

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.