Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+295
+113
+290
+110
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-116
u2+105
o2-110
u2+105
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+425
-125
+420
-140
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-120
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1450
-520
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-120
u3+110
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.5%
11.4%		18.0%
-114
+360
-125
+350
2
1		-0.63957-0.62790-0.34910
Villarreal
Levante		47.3%
27.9%		24.9%
-150
+430
-150
+380
0
2		-1.68659-1.61954-1.27794
Barcelona
Real Madrid		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+220
+131
+230
+120
4
0		-1.18833-1.24434-0.99956
Real Sociedad
Sevilla		25.6%
48.2%		26.2%
+291
+116
+300
+110
0
0		-1.20471-1.17902-1.33998
Villarreal
Cadiz		62.3%
16.0%		21.7%
+113
+275
+110
+310
0
1		-1.35155-1.43385-1.83008
Betis
Celta Vigo		35.9%
36.5%		27.6%
+280
+120
+285
+110
0
0		-1.25618-1.26383-1.28772
Atlético Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.8%
7.9%		16.3%
+112
+315
+105
+295
1
0		-0.77156-0.76992-0.27676
Levante
Osasuna		37.2%
35.5%		27.3%
+350
-110
+320
-110
1
3		-0.67397-0.69709-1.03612
Valencia
Elche		49.6%
24.5%		25.9%
+185
+177
+175
+170
1
0		-1.07140-1.06178-0.70138
Granada
Alavés		46.9%
26.6%		26.5%
+331
+102
+280
+105
3
2		-1.48620-1.38758-0.75769
Getafe
Athletic Club		28.5%
42.0%		29.4%
+575
-144
+550
-145
1
1		-1.26613-1.24150-1.22288
Osasuna
Barcelona		7.6%
78.5%		13.9%
+975
-292
+825
-300
0
4		-0.31117-0.33512-0.24184
Alavés
Real Sociedad		12.6%
68.1%		19.3%
+520
-150
+540
-175
0
1		-0.53840-0.50302-0.38377
Athletic Club
Betis		37.1%
35.1%		27.8%
+213
+156
+195
+150
0
1		-0.95488-0.96192-1.04828
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano		68.6%
12.0%		19.4%
+152
+229
+135
+235
1
1		-1.16110-1.16575-1.63948
Valencia
Getafe		34.4%
35.7%		29.8%
+313
+124
+275
+120
0
0		-1.12252-1.16305-1.20915
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28964 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29390 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.81665
-0.52701
-0.52275

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.