Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 24, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Osasuna
Valencia 		27.2%
46.9%		25.9%
+295
+113
+290
+110
1.07
1.49		2.56
o2-116
u2+105
o2-110
u2-110
Valladolid
Sevilla 		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+435
-125
+420
-140
0.66
2.15		2.81
o2½+102
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-120
Alavés
Real Madrid 		6.7%
79.3%		14.0%
+1400
-460
+1450
-520
0.60
2.54		3.14
o3-118
u3+103
o3-122
u3+110
Games for Sep 23, 2024
Games for Sep 25, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		15.7%
64.0%		20.3%
+466
-158
+460
-170
0
1		-0.50916-0.51061-0.44613
Elche
Granada		18.4%
58.6%		23.0%
+249
+140
+240
+120
1
0		-1.27036-1.27418-1.69336
Espanyol
Levante		22.1%
53.3%		24.6%
+246
+130
+215
+130
1
1		-1.24154-1.25846-1.40409
Cadiz
Atlético Madrid		5.9%
79.2%		14.9%
+1250
-305

1
2		-0.28928-0.23316
Levante
Athletic Club		31.5%
41.3%		27.2%
+600
-190
+575
-200
1
3		-0.44437-0.45435-0.88358
Atlético Madrid
Betis		69.1%
12.0%		18.9%
+130
+260
+120
+255
3
1		-0.85296-0.83605-0.36957
Barcelona
Elche		79.4%
6.8%		13.7%
-232
+762
-250
+750
2
1		-0.37711-0.38462-0.23007
Rayo Vallecano
Cadiz		31.8%
38.6%		29.6%
+225
+150
+215
+170
0
2		-0.95124-1.01418-0.95262
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		19.3%
58.0%		22.7%
+600
-195
+525
-190
1
4		-0.43502-0.47209-0.54530
Granada
Valencia		32.7%
40.3%		27.0%
+350
-112
+335
-115
1
3		-0.65867-0.67113-0.90887
Getafe
Espanyol		39.9%
29.8%		30.3%
+300
+129
+255
+130
0
2		-0.83573-0.88150-1.21234
Villarreal
Osasuna		52.5%
23.6%		23.9%
+123
+250
+105
+260
0
1		-1.28489-1.33094-1.44473
Sevilla
Alavés		66.4%
12.9%		20.7%
-105
+390
-105
+350
0
0		-1.20878-1.19799-1.57547
Cadiz
Granada		18.8%
57.3%		23.9%
+311
+120
+275
+115
0
0		-1.16261-1.19548-1.43012
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+622
-188
+560
-200
0
4		-0.44490-0.45497-0.30491
Osasuna
Real Sociedad		17.4%
61.1%		21.5%
+288
+130
+340
+125
0
1		-0.84788-0.80004-0.49202
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28964 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29390 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.81665
-0.52701
-0.52275

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.