Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 21, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Barcelona
Villarreal 		55.5%
21.6%		22.9%
-125
+275
-130
+270
1.83
1.05		2.88
o3½-105
u3½-112
o3½-105
u3½+115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Rayo Vallecano
Elche 		32.5%
38.3%		29.2%
+228
+145
+225
+140
1.04
1.15		2.19
o2-125
u2+106
o2-125
u2+105
Getafe
Betis 		33.5%
37.9%		28.6%
+485
-136
+460
-145
1.09
1.18		2.27
o2-115
u2+103
o2-120
u2+105
Games for Dec 20, 2025
Games for Dec 22, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Athletic Club
Osasuna		37.5%
33.9%		28.6%
+142
+223
+120
+240
0
2		-1.19534-1.27418-1.08190
Getafe
Betis		33.5%
37.9%		28.6%
+281
+135
+260
+130
1
0		-1.35872-1.33120-1.09279
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol		72.8%
9.0%		18.2%
+145
+200
+130
+215
3
3		-1.30405-1.25846-1.70545
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		6.2%
80.8%		12.9%
+677
-245
+600
-245
1
2		-0.37048-0.39020-0.21285
Cadiz
Villarreal		11.7%
69.7%		18.6%
+549
-206
+560
-210
0
2		-0.42185-0.43703-0.36073
Sevilla
Elche		68.7%
11.6%		19.7%
+113
+269
+100
+275
1
1		-1.28273-1.31420-1.62653
Barcelona
Valladolid		76.8%
8.0%		15.1%
-103
+287
-105
+265
1
3		-1.37393-1.34289-2.52049
Almería
Real Sociedad		15.3%
64.0%		20.7%
+806
-251
+750
-275
0
1		-0.35297-0.35988-0.44665
Betis
Sevilla		13.3%
67.4%		19.2%
+276
+110
+250
+120
0
0		-1.30063-1.24698-1.64865
Real Madrid
Valencia		62.7%
16.2%		21.1%
+126
+230
+120
+220
0
1		-1.20604-1.20701-1.82183
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid		8.5%
75.0%		16.4%
+605
-204
+560
-225
0
3		-0.42425-0.41857-0.28712
Real Sociedad
Barcelona		16.1%
63.2%		20.6%
+419
-131
+365
-135
2
1		-1.66279-1.57867-1.82350
Elche
Getafe		20.7%
52.7%		26.6%
+539
-150
+550
-175
1
1		-1.34465-1.42570-1.32347
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club		24.6%
49.3%		26.1%
+484
-151
+415
-140
1
2		-0.53572-0.58918-0.70696
Valladolid
Cadiz		34.0%
34.9%		31.0%
+248
+118
+260
+110
0
2		-0.80670-0.79308-1.05185
Rayo Vallecano
Betis		23.1%
52.8%		24.1%
+265
+118
+260
+110
1
3		-0.80162-0.79308-0.63809
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.76424 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.77355 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.93937
-0.17513
-0.16582

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.