Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 16, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Levante
Rayo Vallecano 		48.2%
26.3%		25.5%
+438
-143
+430
-150
1.54
1.07		2.61
o2½+100
u2½-107
o2½+100
u2½-115
Games for Mar 15, 2026
Games for Mar 20, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Valencia		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+226
+158
+220
+145
1
0		-1.20058-1.21053-0.77986
Getafe
Athletic Club		28.5%
42.0%		29.4%
+685
-192
+700
-205
2
2		-1.44868-1.44185-1.22288
Las Palmas
Real Madrid		4.5%
84.4%		11.0%
+1588
-555
+1500
-575
0
2		-0.19221-0.19894-0.16909
Almería
Sevilla		11.5%
69.6%		18.9%
+432
-140
+425
-152
1
5		-0.55408-0.54829-0.36182
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid		29.4%
41.8%		28.8%
+163
+188
+155
+180
1
3		-1.07999-1.08063-0.87208
Granada
Las Palmas		58.5%
18.5%		23.0%
+315
-101
+285
-105
0
1		-0.69824-0.70899-1.68745
Cadiz
Betis		22.7%
52.1%		25.2%
+405
-121
+390
-125
1
1		-1.31405-1.30331-1.37845
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano		63.0%
16.2%		20.8%
+178
+160
+175
+150
1
1		-1.29266-1.30096-1.57128
Getafe
Real Sociedad		19.1%
56.7%		24.2%
+560
-140
+570
-150
3
4		-0.56755-0.56179-0.56733
Valencia
Almería		41.3%
31.3%		27.4%
+146
+205
+140
+195
2
2		-1.26440-1.27236-1.29634
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+900
-325
+800
-320
2
3		-0.29021-0.32377-0.22367
Sevilla
Osasuna		59.5%
17.7%		22.8%
+210
+156
+190
+150
0
0		-1.19935-1.22984-1.47955
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid		19.3%
58.0%		22.7%
+435
-140
+420
-137
1
2		-0.55542-0.58173-0.54530
Las Palmas
Sevilla		6.3%
79.7%		14.0%
+525
-152
+510
-170
0
1		-0.50683-0.49939-0.22701
Almería
Villarreal		15.5%
64.2%		20.3%
+557
-200
+525
-200
1
2		-0.42222-0.43178-0.44254
Osasuna
Getafe		29.5%
41.9%		28.6%
+215
+173
+212
+165
2
3		-1.03019-1.01297-0.87091
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.98779 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.97424 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-0.91945
0.06834
0.05478

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.