Atlético Madrid at Athletic Club

Updated 378 days ago

03:15 PM • Dec 16, 2023

Atlético Madrid

62.5%22.7%14.7%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawWin

1.78Projected Goals 0.72

0Final Score 2

Athletic Club

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
W 1-2	12/10 vs Almería	-600
W 1-3	11/12 vs Villarreal	-310
L 1-2	11/03 at Las Palmas	-140
W 1-2	10/29 vs Alavés	-265
W 3-0	10/21 at Celta Vigo	+118

Athletic Club		Money Line
W 3-4	11/10 vs Celta Vigo	-150
W 3-2	11/05 at Villarreal	+110
T 2-2	10/29 vs Valencia	-160
L 0-1	10/22 at Barcelona	+330
W 0-3	10/06 vs Almería	-315

Money Line Analysis

:2.2%:3.7%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+175	+188	+180	+190	-	+190	+190	-
Athletic Club	+160	+161	+150	+154	-	+156	+161	-
Draw	+225	+241	+240	+238	-	+235	+240	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+185	-	+188	-	+170	+190	+190	-
Athletic Club	+150	-	+148	-	+120	+140	+148	-
Draw	+235	-	+230	-	+230	+245	+245	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Athletic Club: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Athletic Club: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Athletic Club: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Athletic Club: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +195 to +18612/16/2023
11:47 AM

Athletic Club ML moved from +153 to +14012/16/2023
08:08 AM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Athletic Club: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Athletic Club: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Athletic Club: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Athletic Club: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +196 to +18412/16/2023
05:38 AM

Athletic Club ML moved from +150 to +14012/14/2023
11:59 AM

Over/Under Analysis

:3.5%:1.1%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-105	o2½-111	o2½-112	o2½-112	-	o2½-112	o2½-111	-
Under	u2½-115	u2½-104	u2½-108	u2½-108	-	u2½-108	u2½-104	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-115	o2½-125	o2½-115	-	o2½-120	o2½-130	o2½-115	-
Under	u2½-105	u2½+105	u2½-105	-	u2½-110	u2½+110	u2½+110	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.7%


No	57.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.23%
Exactly 2	25.67%
Exactly 4	13.34%
Exactly 6	2.77%
Exactly 8	0.31%


Exactly 1	20.56%
Exactly 3	21.36%
Exactly 5	6.66%
Exactly 7	0.99%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	16.96%
Exactly 1	30.09%
Exactly 2	26.70%
Exactly 3	15.79%
Exactly 4	7.00%
Exactly 5	2.49%
Exactly 6	0.74%
Exactly 7	0.19%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletic Club
Exactly 0	48.55%
Exactly 1	35.08%
Exactly 2	12.67%
Exactly 3	3.05%
Exactly 4	0.55%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	31.47%
Exactly 2	21.03%
Exactly 4	2.34%
Exactly 6	0.10%


Exactly 1	36.38%
Exactly 3	8.10%
Exactly 5	0.54%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	43.98%
Exactly 1	36.13%
Exactly 2	14.84%
Exactly 3	4.06%
Exactly 4	0.83%
Exactly 5	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletic Club
Exactly 0	71.57%
Exactly 1	23.94%
Exactly 2	4.00%
Exactly 3	0.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	36.30%
Wins by 3+ goals	16.83%
Wins by 4+ goals	6.37%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.00%

Athletic Club
Wins by 2+ goals	3.99%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.78%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Athletic Club

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	26.20%
Wins by 2 goals	19.47%
Wins by 3 goals	10.46%
Wins by 4 goals	4.37%
Wins by 5 goals	1.49%

Athletic Club
Wins by 1 goal	10.66%
Wins by 2 goals	3.21%
Wins by 3 goals	0.68%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.77%	8.23%
1.5	71.21%	28.79%
2.5	45.54%	54.46%
3.5	24.18%	75.82%
4.5	10.84%	89.16%
5.5	4.18%	95.82%
6.5	1.41%	98.59%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	83.04%	16.96%
1.5	52.95%	47.05%
2.5	26.25%	73.75%
3.5	10.46%	89.54%
4.5	3.46%	96.54%

Total Goals Athletic Club Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	51.45%	48.55%
1.5	16.37%	83.63%
2.5	3.69%	96.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.53%	31.47%
1.5	32.14%	67.86%
2.5	11.11%	88.89%
3.5	3.01%	96.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Athletic Club

Score	0	1	2	3
0	8.23%	5.95%	2.15%	0.52%
1	14.61%	10.56%	3.81%	0.92%
2	12.96%	9.37%	3.38%	0.81%
3	7.67%	5.54%	2.00%	0.48%
4	3.40%	2.46%	0.89%	0.21%
5	1.21%	0.87%	0.32%	0.08%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	14.61%
2-0	12.96%
2-1	9.37%
3-0	7.67%
3-1	5.54%
3-2	2.00%
4-0	3.40%
4-1	2.46%
4-2	0.89%
4-3	0.21%
5-0	1.21%
5-1	0.87%
5-2	0.32%

Draw
0-0	8.23%
1-1	10.56%
2-2	3.38%
3-3	0.48%

Athletic Club
0-1	5.95%
0-2	2.15%
1-2	3.81%
0-3	0.52%
1-3	0.92%
2-3	0.81%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Athletic Club

Score	0	1	2	3
0	31.47%	10.53%	1.76%	0.20%
1	25.86%	8.65%	1.45%	0.16%
2	10.62%	3.55%	0.59%	0.07%
3	2.91%	0.97%	0.16%	0.02%
4	0.60%	0.20%	0.03%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	25.86%
2-0	10.62%
2-1	3.55%
3-0	2.91%
3-1	0.97%
3-2	0.16%
4-0	0.60%
4-1	0.20%

Draw
0-0	31.47%
1-1	8.65%
2-2	0.59%

Athletic Club
0-1	10.53%
0-2	1.76%
1-2	1.45%
0-3	0.20%
1-3	0.16%

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