Villarreal at Atlético Madrid

Updated

Villarreal

17.4%22.7%60.0%
WinDrawAtlético Madrid Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.81
1Final Score 3

Atlético Madrid

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Athletic Club+270
W 3-2 at Granada+130
T 1-1 vs Alavés+105
L 2-1 vs Las Palmas-155
T 0-0 at Getafe+175
Atlético Madrid
Money Line
L 1-2 at Las Palmas-140
W 1-2 vs Alavés-265
W 3-0 at Celta Vigo+118
W 1-2 vs Real Sociedad+103
W 2-3 vs Cadiz-315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+420+680+700+775-+775+775-
Atlético Madrid-175-268-315-300--300-268-
Draw+350+448+500+485-+485+500-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+650-+750--+760+760-
Atlético Madrid-260--310---320-310-
Draw+415-+459--+475+475-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 40.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 40.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +800 to +750
Atlético Madrid ML moved from -290 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 40.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 30.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Atlético Madrid ML moved from -300 to -320

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3-125o3¼-110o3¼-108-o3¼-108o3-125-
Underu2¾+105u3+110u3¼-110u3¼-112-u3¼-112u3¼-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-130o3-130-o3-135o3½+120o3-130-
Underu3+110u3+110u3+110-u3+105u3½-140u3½-140-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.92%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 414.67%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.47%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 042.42%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 215.60%
Exactly 34.46%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 016.30%
Exactly 129.57%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 316.21%
Exactly 47.35%
Exactly 52.67%
Exactly 60.81%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.03%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 067.23%
Exactly 126.70%
Exactly 25.30%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 043.18%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.23%
Exactly 34.26%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals5.43%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals34.74%
Wins by 3+ goals16.19%
Wins by 4+ goals6.19%
Wins by 5+ goals1.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal11.91%
Wins by 2 goals4.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.18%
Wins by 2 goals18.55%
Wins by 3 goals10.01%
Wins by 4 goals4.22%
Wins by 5 goals1.46%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.08%6.92%
1.574.61%25.39%
2.549.93%50.07%
3.527.96%72.04%
4.513.29%86.71%
5.55.45%94.55%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.58%42.42%
1.521.21%78.79%
2.55.61%94.39%
3.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.70%16.30%
1.554.12%45.88%
2.527.31%72.69%
3.511.09%88.91%
4.53.74%96.26%
5.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.97%29.03%
1.535.06%64.94%
2.512.86%87.14%
3.53.71%96.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
Score012345
0
6.92%
12.54%
11.38%
6.88%
3.12%
1.13%
1
5.93%
10.76%
9.76%
5.90%
2.67%
0.97%
2
2.54%
4.61%
4.18%
2.53%
1.15%
0.42%
3
0.73%
1.32%
1.20%
0.72%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.16%
0.28%
0.26%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-05.93%
2-02.54%
2-14.61%
3-00.73%
3-11.32%
3-21.20%
4-00.16%
4-10.28%
4-20.26%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.92%
1-110.76%
2-24.18%
3-30.72%
Atlético Madrid
0-112.54%
0-211.38%
1-29.76%
0-36.88%
1-35.90%
2-32.53%
0-43.12%
1-42.67%
2-41.15%
3-40.33%
0-51.13%
1-50.97%
2-50.42%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
Score012345
0
29.03%
24.38%
10.24%
2.87%
0.60%
0.10%
1
11.53%
9.68%
4.06%
1.14%
0.24%
0.04%
2
2.29%
1.92%
0.81%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.30%
0.25%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-011.53%
2-02.29%
2-11.92%
3-00.30%
3-10.25%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.03%
1-19.68%
2-20.81%
Atlético Madrid
0-124.38%
0-210.24%
1-24.06%
0-32.87%
1-31.14%
2-30.23%
0-40.60%
1-40.24%
0-50.10%