Atlético Madrid at Celta Vigo

Updated

Atlético Madrid

70.8%18.7%10.5%
Atlético Madrid WinDrawWin
2.10Projected Goals 0.66
3Final Score 0

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Real Sociedad+103
W 2-3 vs Cadiz-315
W 2-0 at Osasuna-103
W 1-3 vs Real Madrid+180
L 0-3 at Valencia+120
Celta Vigo
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Getafe+100
L 1-2 at Las Palmas+165
T 1-1 vs Alavés-160
L 2-3 at Barcelona+800
W 3-2 at Almería+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+120+123+115+115-+115+123-
Celta Vigo+243+242+235+248-+248+248-
Draw+230+249+255+253-+253+255-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+115-+118-+100+110+118-
Celta Vigo+240-+230-+215+250+250-
Draw+240-+245-+220+245+245-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +133 to +126
Celta Vigo ML moved from +246 to +240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +120 to +110
Celta Vigo ML moved from +248 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-123o2½-106o2½-108o2½-107-o2½-107o2½-106-
Underu2¼+103u2½-109u2½-112u2½-113-u2½-113u2½-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-110o2½-105o2½-105-
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-120u2½-115u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.4%
 
No57.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.35%
Exactly 224.13%
Exactly 415.28%
Exactly 63.87%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.51%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 58.42%
Exactly 71.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 012.28%
Exactly 125.76%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.88%
Exactly 49.90%
Exactly 54.15%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 051.70%
Exactly 134.11%
Exactly 211.25%
Exactly 32.47%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.91%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.62%
Exactly 39.67%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 037.88%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.78%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 073.68%
Exactly 122.51%
Exactly 23.44%
Exactly 30.35%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals45.89%
Wins by 3+ goals24.27%
Wins by 4+ goals10.63%
Wins by 5+ goals3.93%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals2.59%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.91%
Wins by 2 goals21.62%
Wins by 3 goals13.64%
Wins by 4 goals6.71%
Wins by 5 goals2.69%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal7.83%
Wins by 2 goals2.13%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.65%6.35%
1.576.14%23.86%
2.552.02%47.98%
3.529.84%70.16%
4.514.56%85.44%
5.56.14%93.86%
6.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.72%12.28%
1.561.96%38.04%
2.534.95%65.05%
3.516.08%83.92%
4.56.18%93.82%
5.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.30%51.70%
1.514.19%85.81%
2.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.09%27.91%
1.536.48%63.52%
2.513.75%86.25%
3.54.08%95.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
6.35%
4.19%
1.38%
0.30%
1
13.32%
8.79%
2.90%
0.64%
2
13.96%
9.21%
3.04%
0.67%
3
9.76%
6.44%
2.12%
0.47%
4
5.12%
3.38%
1.11%
0.24%
5
2.15%
1.42%
0.47%
0.10%
Atlético Madrid
1-013.32%
2-013.96%
2-19.21%
3-09.76%
3-16.44%
3-22.12%
4-05.12%
4-13.38%
4-21.11%
4-30.24%
5-02.15%
5-11.42%
5-20.47%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-06.35%
1-18.79%
2-23.04%
3-30.47%
Celta Vigo
0-14.19%
0-21.38%
1-22.90%
0-30.30%
1-30.64%
2-30.67%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
27.91%
8.52%
1.30%
0.13%
1
27.09%
8.28%
1.26%
0.13%
2
13.15%
4.02%
0.61%
0.06%
3
4.26%
1.30%
0.20%
0.02%
4
1.03%
0.32%
0.05%
0.00%
5
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Atlético Madrid
1-027.09%
2-013.15%
2-14.02%
3-04.26%
3-11.30%
3-20.20%
4-01.03%
4-10.32%
5-00.20%
Draw
0-027.91%
1-18.28%
2-20.61%
Celta Vigo
0-18.52%
0-21.30%
1-21.26%
0-30.13%
1-30.13%
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