Atlético Madrid at Osasuna

Updated 459 days ago

07:30 PM • Sep 28, 2023

Atlético Madrid

68.9%19.4%11.7%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawWin

2.05Projected Goals 0.71

2Final Score 0

Osasuna

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
W 1-3	9/24 vs Real Madrid	+180
L 0-3	9/16 at Valencia	+120
W 7-0	8/28 at Rayo Vallecano	+100
T 0-0	8/20 at Betis	+104
W 1-3	8/14 vs Granada	-330

Osasuna		Money Line
T 0-0	9/23 vs Sevilla	+150
L 2-3	9/17 at Getafe	+212
L 2-1	9/03 vs Barcelona	+575
W 2-1	8/27 at Valencia	+425
L 2-0	8/19 vs Athletic Club	+185

Money Line Analysis

:1.1%:3.6%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+120	+100	-105	-110	-	-110	+100	-
Osasuna	+220	+323	+295	+335	-	+335	+335	-
Draw	+255	+244	+245	+256	-	+256	+256	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+120	-	-103	-	-125	-110	-103	-
Osasuna	+230	-	+293	-	+280	+310	+310	-
Draw	+240	-	+244	-	+225	+250	+250	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Osasuna: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Osasuna: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Osasuna: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Osasuna: 10.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +101 to -10009/28/2023
07:17 PM

Osasuna ML moved from +340 to +33409/28/2023
07:23 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Osasuna: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Osasuna: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Osasuna: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Osasuna: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +103 to -10309/28/2023
07:11 PM

Osasuna ML moved from +306 to +28309/28/2023
06:38 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:0.2%:2.7%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+100	o2½+126	o2¼-105	o2¼-106	-	o2¼-106	o2¼-105	-
Under	u2½-120	u2½-141	u2¼-115	u2¼-114	-	u2¼-114	u2½-141	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+110	o2½+120	o2½+125	-	o2½+120	o2½+120	o2½+125	-
Under	u2½-130	u2½-140	u2½-145	-	u2½-150	u2½-140	u2½-140	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	44.1%


No	55.9%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.33%
Exactly 2	24.11%
Exactly 4	15.30%
Exactly 6	3.88%
Exactly 8	0.53%


Exactly 1	17.47%
Exactly 3	22.18%
Exactly 5	8.44%
Exactly 7	1.53%
Exactly 9	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	12.82%
Exactly 1	26.33%
Exactly 2	27.05%
Exactly 3	18.52%
Exactly 4	9.51%
Exactly 5	3.91%
Exactly 6	1.34%
Exactly 7	0.39%
Exactly 8	0.10%

Exact Goals Scored - Osasuna
Exactly 0	49.39%
Exactly 1	34.84%
Exactly 2	12.29%
Exactly 3	2.89%
Exactly 4	0.51%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	27.87%
Exactly 2	22.75%
Exactly 4	3.09%
Exactly 6	0.17%


Exactly 1	35.61%
Exactly 3	9.69%
Exactly 5	0.79%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	38.63%
Exactly 1	36.74%
Exactly 2	17.47%
Exactly 3	5.54%
Exactly 4	1.32%
Exactly 5	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Osasuna
Exactly 0	72.14%
Exactly 1	23.56%
Exactly 2	3.85%
Exactly 3	0.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	43.85%
Wins by 3+ goals	22.75%
Wins by 4+ goals	9.77%
Wins by 5+ goals	3.54%

Osasuna
Wins by 2+ goals	3.04%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Osasuna

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	25.00%
Wins by 2 goals	21.10%
Wins by 3 goals	12.98%
Wins by 4 goals	6.24%
Wins by 5 goals	2.45%

Osasuna
Wins by 1 goal	8.58%
Wins by 2 goals	2.47%
Wins by 3 goals	0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.67%	6.33%
1.5	76.20%	23.80%
2.5	52.09%	47.91%
3.5	29.91%	70.09%
4.5	14.61%	85.39%
5.5	6.16%	93.84%
6.5	2.28%	97.72%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.18%	12.82%
1.5	60.85%	39.15%
2.5	33.80%	66.20%
3.5	15.28%	84.72%
4.5	5.77%	94.23%
5.5	1.86%	98.14%

Total Goals Osasuna Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	50.61%	49.39%
1.5	15.77%	84.23%
2.5	3.48%	96.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.13%	27.87%
1.5	36.53%	63.47%
2.5	13.78%	86.22%
3.5	4.09%	95.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Osasuna

Score	0	1	2	3
0	6.33%	4.47%	1.58%	0.37%
1	13.01%	9.17%	3.24%	0.76%
2	13.36%	9.42%	3.32%	0.78%
3	9.15%	6.45%	2.28%	0.54%
4	4.70%	3.31%	1.17%	0.27%
5	1.93%	1.36%	0.48%	0.11%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	13.01%
2-0	13.36%
2-1	9.42%
3-0	9.15%
3-1	6.45%
3-2	2.28%
4-0	4.70%
4-1	3.31%
4-2	1.17%
4-3	0.27%
5-0	1.93%
5-1	1.36%
5-2	0.48%
5-3	0.11%

Draw
0-0	6.33%
1-1	9.17%
2-2	3.32%
3-3	0.54%

Osasuna
0-1	4.47%
0-2	1.58%
1-2	3.24%
0-3	0.37%
1-3	0.76%
2-3	0.78%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Osasuna

Score	0	1	2	3
0	27.87%	9.10%	1.49%	0.16%
1	26.50%	8.66%	1.41%	0.15%
2	12.60%	4.12%	0.67%	0.07%
3	4.00%	1.31%	0.21%	0.02%
4	0.95%	0.31%	0.05%	0.01%
5	0.18%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	26.50%
2-0	12.60%
2-1	4.12%
3-0	4.00%
3-1	1.31%
3-2	0.21%
4-0	0.95%
4-1	0.31%
5-0	0.18%

Draw
0-0	27.87%
1-1	8.66%
2-2	0.67%

Osasuna
0-1	9.10%
0-2	1.49%
1-2	1.41%
0-3	0.16%
1-3	0.15%

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