Atlético Madrid at Valencia

Updated

Atlético Madrid

63.6%21.7%14.7%
Atlético Madrid WinDrawWin
1.88Projected Goals 0.77
0Final Score 3

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid
Money Line
W 7-0 at Rayo Vallecano+100
T 0-0 at Betis+104
W 1-3 vs Granada-330
T 2-2 at Villarreal+145
W 1-2 vs Real Sociedad+130
Valencia
Money Line
L 0-1 at Alavés+160
L 2-1 vs Osasuna-130
W 0-1 vs Las Palmas-180
W 2-1 at Sevilla+330
T 1-1 at Betis+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+110+109+120+120-+120+120-
Valencia+245+290+240+261-+261+290-
Draw+245+243+230+230-+230+243-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+100-+120-+110+120+120-
Valencia+290-+244-+210+245+245-
Draw+240-+225-+200+225+225-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Atlético Madrid: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +123 to +110
Valencia ML moved from +285 to +261

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +130 to +120
Valencia ML moved from +255 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½+114o2¼-105o2¼-106-o2¼-106o2¼-105-
Underu2½-122u2½-129u2¼-115u2¼-114-u2¼-114u2½-129-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+115o2½+125-o2½+110o2½+125o2½+125-
Underu2½-130u2½-135u2½-145-u2½-140u2½-145u2½-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.09%
Exactly 224.83%
Exactly 414.50%
Exactly 63.39%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.76%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.67%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 015.30%
Exactly 128.72%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 316.87%
Exactly 47.92%
Exactly 52.97%
Exactly 60.93%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 046.31%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.72%
Exactly 33.52%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.36%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 041.93%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.84%
Exactly 34.59%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 070.02%
Exactly 124.95%
Exactly 24.45%
Exactly 30.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals38.02%
Wins by 3+ goals18.32%
Wins by 4+ goals7.24%
Wins by 5+ goals2.38%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals4.22%
Wins by 3+ goals0.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid
Valencia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.53%
Wins by 2 goals19.70%
Wins by 3 goals11.08%
Wins by 4 goals4.86%
Wins by 5 goals1.74%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal10.47%
Wins by 2 goals3.31%
Wins by 3 goals0.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.91%7.09%
1.574.16%25.84%
2.549.33%50.67%
3.527.43%72.57%
4.512.93%87.07%
5.55.26%94.74%
6.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.70%15.30%
1.555.98%44.02%
2.529.02%70.98%
3.512.15%87.85%
4.54.23%95.77%
5.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.69%46.31%
1.518.04%81.96%
2.54.32%95.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.64%29.36%
1.534.66%65.34%
2.512.61%87.39%
3.53.60%96.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid
Valencia
Score01234
0
7.09%
5.45%
2.10%
0.54%
0.10%
1
13.30%
10.24%
3.94%
1.01%
0.19%
2
12.49%
9.61%
3.70%
0.95%
0.18%
3
7.81%
6.01%
2.31%
0.59%
0.11%
4
3.67%
2.82%
1.09%
0.28%
0.05%
5
1.38%
1.06%
0.41%
0.10%
0.02%
Atlético Madrid
1-013.30%
2-012.49%
2-19.61%
3-07.81%
3-16.01%
3-22.31%
4-03.67%
4-12.82%
4-21.09%
4-30.28%
5-01.38%
5-11.06%
5-20.41%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.09%
1-110.24%
2-23.70%
3-30.59%
Valencia
0-15.45%
0-22.10%
1-23.94%
0-30.54%
1-31.01%
2-30.95%
0-40.10%
1-40.19%
2-40.18%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid
Valencia
Score0123
0
29.36%
10.46%
1.86%
0.22%
1
25.52%
9.09%
1.62%
0.19%
2
11.09%
3.95%
0.70%
0.08%
3
3.21%
1.15%
0.20%
0.02%
4
0.70%
0.25%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Atlético Madrid
1-025.52%
2-011.09%
2-13.95%
3-03.21%
3-11.15%
3-20.20%
4-00.70%
4-10.25%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-029.36%
1-19.09%
2-20.70%
Valencia
0-110.46%
0-21.86%
1-21.62%
0-30.22%
1-30.19%
Cadiz at Athletic Club
Betis at Barcelona