Real Madrid at Atlético Madrid

Updated

Real Madrid

29.4%28.8%41.8%
Real Madrid WinDrawAtlético Madrid Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 3

Atlético Madrid

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Real Sociedad-137
W 1-2 vs Getafe-291
W 1-0 at Celta Vigo-120
W 3-1 at Almería-245
W 2-0 at Athletic Club+118
Atlético Madrid
Money Line
L 0-3 at Valencia+120
W 7-0 at Rayo Vallecano+100
T 0-0 at Betis+104
W 1-3 vs Granada-330
T 2-2 at Villarreal+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+155+163+160+155-+155+163-
Atlético Madrid+170+184+170+188-+188+188-
Draw+255+239+235+238-+238+239-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+160-+155-+135+155+155-
Atlético Madrid+170-+180-+165+180+180-
Draw+240-+230-+210+230+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +168 to +162
Atlético Madrid ML moved from +193 to +186

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +162 to +155
Atlético Madrid ML moved from +180 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-103o2½-105o2½-107-o2½-107o2½-103-
Underu2½-108u2½-112u2½-115u2½-113-u2½-113u2½-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½+100-o2½-115o2½-105o2½+100-
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-120-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.04%
Exactly 226.81%
Exactly 410.85%
Exactly 61.76%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.33%
Exactly 319.69%
Exactly 54.78%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 037.61%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.98%
Exactly 35.86%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 029.36%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 222.05%
Exactly 39.01%
Exactly 42.76%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.05%
Exactly 218.76%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 063.59%
Exactly 128.79%
Exactly 26.52%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 056.69%
Exactly 132.17%
Exactly 29.13%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals10.63%
Wins by 3+ goals2.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals18.35%
Wins by 3+ goals6.20%
Wins by 4+ goals1.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal18.70%
Wins by 2 goals7.73%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.44%
Wins by 2 goals12.15%
Wins by 3 goals4.53%
Wins by 4 goals1.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.96%11.04%
1.564.63%35.37%
2.537.82%62.18%
3.518.13%81.87%
4.57.29%92.71%
5.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.39%37.61%
1.525.61%74.39%
2.57.63%92.37%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.64%29.36%
1.534.66%65.34%
2.512.61%87.39%
3.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.95%36.05%
1.527.17%72.83%
2.58.41%91.59%
3.52.03%97.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
Score012345
0
11.04%
13.53%
8.29%
3.39%
1.04%
0.25%
1
10.80%
13.23%
8.11%
3.31%
1.02%
0.25%
2
5.28%
6.47%
3.96%
1.62%
0.50%
0.12%
3
1.72%
2.11%
1.29%
0.53%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.42%
0.52%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-010.80%
2-05.28%
2-16.47%
3-01.72%
3-12.11%
3-21.29%
4-00.42%
4-10.52%
4-20.32%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-011.04%
1-113.23%
2-23.96%
3-30.53%
Atlético Madrid
0-113.53%
0-28.29%
1-28.11%
0-33.39%
1-33.31%
2-31.62%
0-41.04%
1-41.02%
2-40.50%
3-40.16%
0-50.25%
1-50.25%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
Score01234
0
36.05%
20.46%
5.81%
1.10%
0.16%
1
16.32%
9.26%
2.63%
0.50%
0.07%
2
3.69%
2.10%
0.59%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.56%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-016.32%
2-03.69%
2-12.10%
3-00.56%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-036.05%
1-19.26%
2-20.59%
Atlético Madrid
0-120.46%
0-25.81%
1-22.63%
0-31.10%
1-30.50%
2-30.11%
0-40.16%