Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Atlético Madrid 		5.7%
80.3%		14.0%
+1200
-400
+1175
-417
0.49
2.43		2.92
o2¾-102
u2¾-116
o2½-130
u2½+115
Barcelona
Levante 		69.3%
12.8%		17.9%
-410
+985
-420
+935
2.30
0.88		3.18
o3½-108
u3½-112
o3½-105
u3½-105
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valencia
Valladolid		45.1%
27.9%		27.0%
+150
+219
+135
+220
0
1		-1.18189-1.21244-1.27611
Betis
Getafe		30.5%
41.5%		28.0%
+187
+210
+165
+215
1
0		-1.07476-1.02521-1.18862
Elche
Sevilla		8.5%
74.8%		16.7%
+638
-178
+585
-190
0
3		-0.46533-0.47276-0.28990
Almería
Valencia		24.4%
50.3%		25.2%
+470
-157
+460
-165
2
2		-1.45921-1.43624-1.37729
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		61.8%
16.2%		21.9%
+153
+200
+145
+185
2
0		-0.94814-0.94384-0.48056
Getafe
Barcelona		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1450
-367
+1360
-450
0
1		-0.26292-0.25004-0.28842
Osasuna
Elche		42.9%
29.3%		27.8%
+167
+208
+130
+235
1
1		-1.15296-1.19690-1.28049
Cadiz
Sevilla		8.8%
73.5%		17.7%
+430
-122
+425
-130
0
1		-0.61454-0.61915-0.30767
Valladolid
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.2%		15.2%
+915
-266
+850
-290
0
3		-0.32956-0.34589-0.24594
Betis
Espanyol		39.9%
32.4%		27.7%
+191
+183
+175
+170
0
1		-1.06068-1.04344-1.12831
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano		62.8%
16.0%		21.2%
+174
+200
+160
+200
2
0		-1.02862-1.00550-0.46596
Elche
Cadiz		30.6%
39.0%		30.3%
+365
-102
+350
-110
1
1		-1.23781-1.24181-1.19264
Atlético Madrid
Almería		71.0%
10.3%		18.7%
-130
+414
-135
+390
1
1		-1.36739-1.34592-1.67756
Espanyol
Getafe		23.5%
48.3%		28.1%
+258
+151
+245
+140
2
1		-1.29536-1.28844-1.44660
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.2%		24.3%
+280
+137
+250
+135
1
3		-0.88116-0.90342-0.61288
Rayo Vallecano
Valladolid		29.1%
42.8%		28.1%
+175
+190
+160
+185
1
0		-1.02949-1.00239-1.23447
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65687 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67970 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.68524
-0.02837
-0.00554

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.