Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Atlético Madrid 		5.7%
80.3%		14.0%
+1250
-385
+1175
-405
0.49
2.43		2.92
o2¾+100
u2¾-117
o2½-125
u2½+115
Barcelona
Levante 		69.3%
12.8%		17.9%
-405
+985
-420
+950
2.30
0.88		3.18
o3½-105
u3½-112
o3½-105
u3½-110
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		55.5%
21.3%		23.2%
+173
+190
+170
+180
1
1		-1.19730-1.18026-1.45887
Osasuna
Athletic Club		27.0%
46.2%		26.8%
+572
-146
+560
-175
0
0		-1.36920-1.38478-1.31774
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid		33.5%
37.1%		29.4%
+147
+228
+145
+210
1
0		-0.90130-0.94317-1.09383
Getafe
Sevilla		14.4%
62.8%		22.7%
+437
-113
+420
-120
1
2		-0.63881-0.65518-0.46453
Betis
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
29.9%		26.4%
+225
+151
+205
+140
2
1		-1.19050-1.16603-0.82764
Real Sociedad
Almería		55.6%
20.7%		23.7%
-102
+341
-105
+325
2
0		-0.70546-0.71832-0.58742
Real Madrid
Villarreal		49.7%
25.4%		24.8%
+110
+261
+105
+240
1
2		-1.30059-1.27465-1.36869
Cadiz
Valencia		18.9%
56.9%		24.1%
+530
-161
+500
-180
1
0		-1.85694-1.84099-1.66500
Celta Vigo
Elche		39.6%
31.7%		28.8%
+115
+308
+105
+300
1
0		-0.77416-0.76692-0.92697
Cadiz
Real Madrid		6.3%
79.8%		13.9%
+1351
-440
+1200
-500
1
2		-0.23104-0.23216-0.22546
Betis
Valencia		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+280
+123
+255
+120
0
3		-0.81470-0.83605-0.76312
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano		38.9%
32.7%		28.4%
+320
+117
+275
+110
0
0		-1.18312-1.22799-1.25998
Villarreal
Espanyol		59.2%
18.2%		22.6%
+171
+180
+155
+185
1
0		-1.01448-0.98556-0.52367
Real Sociedad
Sevilla		25.6%
48.2%		26.2%
+206
+156
+200
+150
2
1		-1.13865-1.14816-1.36184
Getafe
Almería		36.5%
33.3%		30.2%
+336
+106
+300
+105
0
1		-0.74402-0.76692-1.10039
Barcelona
Osasuna		72.7%
10.5%		16.7%
-175
+529
-185
+510
2
1		-0.47435-0.47934-0.31837
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65687 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67970 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.68524
-0.02837
-0.00554

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.