Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Elche
Atlético Madrid 		5.7%
80.3%		14.0%
+1100
-380
+1175
-405
0.49
2.43		2.92
o2¾-108
u2¾-112
o2½-125
u2½+115
Barcelona
Levante 		69.3%
12.8%		17.9%
-405
+985
-435
+950
2.30
0.88		3.18
o3½-108
u3½-112
o3½-105
u3½-110
Games for Aug 22, 2025
Games for Aug 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Valladolid
Athletic Club		21.4%
53.2%		25.5%
+717
-225
+700
-250
0
3		-0.38840-0.38509-0.63205
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano		75.9%
8.6%		15.5%
-131
+417
-150
+410
2
3		-1.66294-1.68040-2.45877
Sevilla
Betis		59.5%
18.2%		22.3%
+290
+115
+265
+110
1
1		-1.23512-1.24573-1.50018
Valencia
Real Sociedad		21.6%
54.9%		23.4%
+368
-104
+330
-110
1
1		-1.24119-1.27300-1.45085
Espanyol
Atlético Madrid		6.6%
78.0%		15.4%
+640
-185
+630
-210
1
1		-1.49308-1.48625-1.87028
Almería
Barcelona		6.7%
80.2%		13.1%
+2260
-850
+2100
-900
0
2		-0.13560-0.15483-0.22073
Osasuna
Celta Vigo		34.8%
37.0%		28.2%
+251
+126
+235
+130
2
1		-1.28381-1.25372-1.05509
Elche
Valladolid		28.1%
43.3%		28.5%
+330
-105
+315
-115
1
2		-0.68540-0.67433-0.83593
Cadiz
Getafe		21.0%
51.4%		27.6%
+333
+117
+270
+120
0
0		-1.13013-1.16648-1.28888
Getafe
Elche		44.2%
26.7%		29.2%
+212
+178
+200
+165
1
0		-1.14379-1.14709-0.81672
Getafe
Celta Vigo		36.2%
33.6%		30.1%
+532
-143
+510
-150
1
1		-1.30711-1.30122-1.20015
Athletic Club
Barcelona		9.7%
73.7%		16.5%
+672
-230
+650
-240
0
4		-0.38447-0.39686-0.30491
Almería
Villarreal		15.5%
64.2%		20.3%
+806
-265
+725
-265
1
2		-0.34322-0.37021-0.44254
Atlético Madrid
Betis		69.1%
12.0%		18.9%
+145
+244
+135
+210
2
1		-0.91227-0.90429-0.36957
Elche
Espanyol		28.1%
43.0%		28.8%
+498
-151
+435
-150
2
2		-1.38782-1.38390-1.24445
Sevilla
Real Madrid		25.0%
48.5%		26.5%
+800
-253
+710
-265
1
3		-0.35374-0.36847-0.72365
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.65687 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67970 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.68524
-0.02837
-0.00554

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.