Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 24, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Valencia
Osasuna
38.0%
34.3%
27.7%
+225
+142
+215
+140
1.23
1.15
2.38
o2¼+105
u2¼-122
o2-125
u2+120
Espanyol
Real Sociedad
13.2%
66.8%
19.9%
+400
-122
+390
-120
0.78
2.04
2.82
o2¼+104
u2¼-122
o2-135
u2+120
Games for Aug 23, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
ML
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Barcelona
Levante
69.3%
12.8%
17.9%
-450
+1065
-450
+1025
3.18
o3½-120
u3¾-118
o3½-110
u3½-102
2nd H
58:00
2
2

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sevilla
Real Madrid
25.0%
48.5%
26.5%
+800
-253
+710
-265
1
3
-0.35374-0.36847-0.72365
Real Sociedad
Valladolid
59.1%
18.1%
22.8%
-102
+332
-105
+300
0
1
-1.48122-1.43704-1.70926
Cadiz
Rayo Vallecano
31.2%
39.2%
29.6%
+499
-135
+440
-140
1
5
-0.57714-0.59182-0.93570
Villarreal
Barcelona
15.9%
64.1%
19.9%
+600
-214
+555
-220
0
3
-0.41149-0.42629-0.44399
Espanyol
Osasuna
25.9%
47.2%
26.8%
+259
+130
+265
+110
0
1
-0.85189-0.79376-0.75012
Real Madrid
Elche
75.9%
8.3%
15.8%
-375
+1100
-380
+970
3
0
-0.26316-0.28412-0.27537
Celta Vigo
Valladolid
35.3%
35.2%
29.4%
+143
+235
+135
+225
1
4
-1.22745-1.22809-1.04285
Betis
Cadiz
43.2%
29.2%
27.5%
+123
+275
+115
+280
0
0
-1.20765-1.18101-1.28993
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
5.8%
80.5%
13.7%
+590
-160
+610
-185
1
1
-1.37180-1.39659-1.98938
Athletic Club
Getafe
33.9%
35.1%
30.9%
-118
+405
-120
+380
2
2
-1.25243-1.25994-1.17393
Valencia
Sevilla
16.3%
61.7%
21.9%
+233
+130
+235
+125
1
1
-1.24199-1.22806-1.51681
Osasuna
Villarreal
17.5%
61.3%
21.1%
+402
-124
+380
-135
0
2
-0.61273-0.60259-0.48859
Almería
Betis
28.9%
45.1%
26.0%
+569
-174
+500
-180
1
3
-0.47644-0.49109-0.79709
Valladolid
Espanyol
31.6%
38.8%
29.6%
+297
+107
+275
+100
0
1
-0.74024-0.74421-0.94768
Barcelona
Real Madrid
36.8%
35.4%
27.8%
+210
+131
+200
+130
1
3
-0.85571-0.87414-1.03877
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
55.3%
21.0%
23.7%
+231
+149
+210
+155
2
1
-1.21696-1.15827-0.59229
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.86821 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.81788 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.96426
-0.09605
-0.14638

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.