Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 24, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Valencia
Osasuna 		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+225
+144
+215
+140
1.23
1.15		2.38
o2¼+105
u2¼-122
o2-125
u2+120
Espanyol
Real Sociedad 		13.2%
66.8%		19.9%
+400
-122
+390
-120
0.78
2.04		2.82
o2¼+104
u2¼-122
o2-135
u2+120
Games for Aug 23, 2025
Games for Aug 25, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo		55.3%
21.0%		23.7%
+231
+149
+210
+155
2
1		-1.21696-1.15827-0.59229
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		62.5%
14.7%		22.7%
+243
+136
+235
+130
1
0		-1.25341-1.25846-0.46922
Elche
Valencia		18.5%
58.3%		23.2%
+701
-223
+620
-225
2
2		-1.58694-1.55613-1.46283
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano		43.7%
27.6%		28.7%
+403
-106
+340
-105
0
0		-1.19952-1.21382-1.24737
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		6.8%
80.0%		13.2%
+1011
-312
+910
-350
0
1		-0.28787-0.30077-0.22367
Villarreal
Real Sociedad		32.4%
41.1%		26.5%
+187
+174
+175
+160
0
1		-1.01979-1.00550-0.88916
Espanyol
Cadiz		33.8%
34.9%		31.3%
+174
+197
+165
+185
2
2		-1.16851-1.18097-1.16059
Betis
Valladolid		39.9%
32.6%		27.5%
+150
+208
+150
+185
0
0		-1.26720-1.25716-1.29131
Real Madrid
Getafe		64.0%
14.3%		21.6%
-215
+671
-210
+600
1
0		-0.40797-0.43841-0.44571
Athletic Club
Sevilla		16.3%
60.8%		22.9%
+135
+253
+120
+240
1
1		-1.24116-1.24434-1.47504
Valencia
Osasuna		38.0%
34.3%		27.7%
+207
+165
+215
+135
2
1		-1.13147-1.19683-0.96874
Elche
Rayo Vallecano		31.0%
40.4%		28.6%
+554
-180
+575
-185
1
2		-0.47459-0.46418-0.90639
Osasuna
Real Madrid		9.2%
74.9%		15.8%
+769
-255
+750
-290
1
1		-1.69565-1.70860-1.84390
Betis
Celta Vigo		35.9%
36.5%		27.6%
+225
+147
+225
+135
0
1		-0.91522-0.90387-1.00736
Valencia
Espanyol		45.1%
27.7%		27.2%
+176
+187
+160
+180
2
2		-1.20761-1.21598-1.30243
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla		41.3%
28.9%		29.8%
+141
+239
+135
+225
2
0		-0.90468-0.90387-0.88399
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.05235 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.03221 
DRatings21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.16550
-0.11315
-0.13329

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.