Valencia at Almería

Updated

Valencia

41.3%27.4%31.3%
Valencia WinDrawAlmería Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.11
2Final Score 2

Almería

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Atlético Madrid+245
L 0-1 at Alavés+160
L 2-1 vs Osasuna-130
W 0-1 vs Las Palmas-180
W 2-1 at Sevilla+330
Almería
Money Line
L 1-2 at Villarreal+525
L 3-2 vs Celta Vigo+195
T 1-1 at Cadiz+242
L 3-1 vs Real Madrid+675
L 2-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+155+146+145+142-+142+146-
Almería+190+203+205+205-+205+205-
Draw+220+246+225+240-+240+246-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+140---+120+140+140-
Almería+195---+180+195+195-
Draw+240---+220+240+240-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 10.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +160 to +150
No Steam Moves On Almería ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 10.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Valencia ML
No Steam Moves On Almería ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½-107o2½-110o2½-110-o2½-110o2½-107-
Underu2¼-102u2½-108u2½-110u2½-110-u2½-110u2½-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105--o2½-110o2½-105o2½-105-
Underu2½-115u2½-115--u2½-120u2½-115u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.91%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 412.69%
Exactly 62.47%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.54%
Exactly 321.00%
Exactly 56.14%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 026.90%
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 223.19%
Exactly 310.15%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Almería
Exactly 033.12%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.22%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 42.06%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.64%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.64%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 054.45%
Exactly 133.10%
Exactly 210.06%
Exactly 32.04%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almería
Exactly 059.95%
Exactly 130.67%
Exactly 27.85%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals18.80%
Wins by 3+ goals6.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Almería
Wins by 2+ goals12.27%
Wins by 3+ goals3.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Almería
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal22.50%
Wins by 2 goals12.14%
Wins by 3 goals4.77%
Wins by 4 goals1.46%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Almería
Wins by 1 goal18.94%
Wins by 2 goals8.59%
Wins by 3 goals2.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.09%8.91%
1.569.55%30.45%
2.543.50%56.50%
3.522.51%77.49%
4.59.82%90.18%
5.53.68%96.32%
6.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.10%26.90%
1.537.78%62.22%
2.514.59%85.41%
3.54.44%95.56%
4.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Almería Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.88%33.12%
1.530.29%69.71%
2.510.06%89.94%
3.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.36%32.64%
1.530.82%69.18%
2.510.36%89.64%
3.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Almería
Score012345
0
8.91%
9.84%
5.44%
2.00%
0.55%
0.12%
1
11.70%
12.93%
7.14%
2.63%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.68%
8.49%
4.69%
1.73%
0.48%
0.11%
3
3.36%
3.71%
2.05%
0.76%
0.21%
0.05%
4
1.10%
1.22%
0.67%
0.25%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.29%
0.32%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Valencia
1-011.70%
2-07.68%
2-18.49%
3-03.36%
3-13.71%
3-22.05%
4-01.10%
4-11.22%
4-20.67%
4-30.25%
5-00.29%
5-10.32%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-08.91%
1-112.93%
2-24.69%
3-30.76%
Almería
0-19.84%
0-25.44%
1-27.14%
0-32.00%
1-32.63%
2-31.73%
0-40.55%
1-40.73%
2-40.48%
3-40.21%
0-50.12%
1-50.16%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Almería
Score0123
0
32.64%
16.70%
4.27%
0.73%
1
19.84%
10.15%
2.60%
0.44%
2
6.03%
3.09%
0.79%
0.13%
3
1.22%
0.63%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Valencia
1-019.84%
2-06.03%
2-13.09%
3-01.22%
3-10.63%
3-20.16%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-032.64%
1-110.15%
2-20.79%
Almería
0-116.70%
0-24.27%
1-22.60%
0-30.73%
1-30.44%
2-30.13%