Valencia at Atlético Madrid

Updated

Valencia

10.7%18.6%70.7%
WinDrawAtlético Madrid Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.12
0Final Score 2

Atlético Madrid

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Athletic Club+250
W 4-1 at Cadiz+170
W 1-0 at Rayo Vallecano+255
T 1-1 vs Barcelona+475
L 0-1 at Getafe+205
Atlético Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Granada-164
T 3-3 vs Getafe-210
L 0-2 at Athletic Club+190
W 1-2 vs Almería-600
W 1-3 vs Villarreal-310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+500-+475+528-+528+528-
Atlético Madrid-200--170-168--168-168-
Draw+350-+310+300-+300+310-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+550-+530-+470+545+545-
Atlético Madrid-200--183--230-190-183-
Draw+335-+305-+290+315+315-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +500 to +475
Atlético Madrid ML moved from -185 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +564 to +530
Atlético Madrid ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102-o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-105-
Underu2¾-122-u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-115o2½-105-o2½-120o2½-105o2½-105-
Underu2½+105u2½-105u2½-115-u2½-110u2½-115u2½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.03%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 415.63%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.93%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.78%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 050.39%
Exactly 134.54%
Exactly 211.84%
Exactly 32.70%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 011.97%
Exactly 125.40%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.09%
Exactly 410.13%
Exactly 54.30%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.24%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 072.81%
Exactly 123.11%
Exactly 23.67%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 037.42%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.08%
Exactly 35.92%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals2.72%
Wins by 3+ goals0.50%
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals45.98%
Wins by 3+ goals24.48%
Wins by 4+ goals10.81%
Wins by 5+ goals4.03%
Wins by 6+ goals1.28%
Wins by 7+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Atlético Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal7.96%
Wins by 2 goals2.23%
Wins by 3 goals0.44%
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.67%
Wins by 2 goals21.50%
Wins by 3 goals13.67%
Wins by 4 goals6.78%
Wins by 5 goals2.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.94%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.97%6.03%
1.577.04%22.96%
2.553.26%46.74%
3.531.00%69.00%
4.515.37%84.63%
5.56.59%93.41%
6.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.61%50.39%
1.515.08%84.92%
2.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.03%11.97%
1.562.63%37.37%
2.535.66%64.34%
3.516.58%83.42%
4.56.45%93.55%
5.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.76%27.24%
1.537.33%62.67%
2.514.30%85.70%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Atlético Madrid
Score012345
0
6.03%
12.80%
13.59%
9.62%
5.10%
2.17%
1
4.13%
8.77%
9.31%
6.59%
3.50%
1.49%
2
1.42%
3.01%
3.19%
2.26%
1.20%
0.51%
3
0.32%
0.69%
0.73%
0.52%
0.27%
0.12%
Valencia
1-04.13%
2-01.42%
2-13.01%
3-00.32%
3-10.69%
3-20.73%
Draw
0-06.03%
1-18.77%
2-23.19%
3-30.52%
Atlético Madrid
0-112.80%
0-213.59%
1-29.31%
0-39.62%
1-36.59%
2-32.26%
0-45.10%
1-43.50%
2-41.20%
3-40.27%
0-52.17%
1-51.49%
2-50.51%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Atlético Madrid
Score012345
0
27.24%
26.78%
13.16%
4.31%
1.06%
0.21%
1
8.65%
8.50%
4.18%
1.37%
0.34%
0.07%
2
1.37%
1.35%
0.66%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.15%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-08.65%
2-01.37%
2-11.35%
3-00.15%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-027.24%
1-18.50%
2-20.66%
Atlético Madrid
0-126.78%
0-213.16%
1-24.18%
0-34.31%
1-31.37%
2-30.22%
0-41.06%
1-40.34%
0-50.21%