Atlético Madrid at Real Madrid

Updated 228 days ago

08:00 PM • Feb 4, 2024

Atlético Madrid

33.7%30.0%36.3%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawReal Madrid Win

1.03Projected Goals 1.07

1Final Score 1

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
W 1-2	1/31 vs Rayo Vallecano	-160
W 0-2	1/28 vs Valencia	-183
W 1-0	1/22 at Granada	-164
T 3-3	12/19 vs Getafe	-210
L 0-2	12/16 at Athletic Club	+190

Real Madrid		Money Line
W 2-0	2/01 at Getafe	-177
W 2-1	1/27 at Las Palmas	-225
W 2-3	1/21 vs Almería	-800
W 1-4	12/17 vs Villarreal	-460
T 1-1	12/09 at Betis	-140

Money Line Analysis

:2.4%:3.3%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+360	-	+360	+409	-	+409	+409	-
Real Madrid	-145	-	-150	-147	-	-147	-147	-
Draw	+310	-	+330	+310	-	+310	+330	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+318	-	+358	-	+305	+400	+400	-
Real Madrid	-132	-	-145	-	-160	-155	-145	-
Draw	+300	-	+313	-	+275	+310	+313	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Real Madrid: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +406 to +39502/04/2024
07:49 PM

Real Madrid ML moved from -138 to -14502/04/2024
06:40 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 50.0%

Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Real Madrid: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +385 to +33002/04/2024
06:15 PM

Real Madrid ML moved from -131 to -14502/04/2024
06:52 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:4.2%:3.4%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¾-118	-	o3-102	o3-103	-	o3-103	o3-102	-
Under	u2¾-102	-	u3-118	u3-117	-	u3-117	u3-117	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3+110	o3-105	o3-105	-	o3+100	o3-105	o3+100	-
Under	u3-130	u3-115	u3-115	-	u3-130	u3-115	u3-115	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-135 to o3+11002/04/2024
04:44 PM

The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+11502/04/2024
10:17 AM

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.2%


No	57.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.26%
Exactly 2	27.00%
Exactly 4	9.91%
Exactly 6	1.46%
Exactly 8	0.11%


Exactly 1	25.73%
Exactly 3	18.89%
Exactly 5	4.16%
Exactly 7	0.44%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	35.90%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	18.84%
Exactly 3	6.43%
Exactly 4	1.65%
Exactly 5	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 0	34.15%
Exactly 1	36.69%
Exactly 2	19.71%
Exactly 3	7.06%
Exactly 4	1.90%
Exactly 5	0.41%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	37.84%
Exactly 2	17.87%
Exactly 4	1.41%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	5.79%
Exactly 5	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	62.23%
Exactly 1	29.52%
Exactly 2	7.00%
Exactly 3	1.11%
Exactly 4	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 0	60.81%
Exactly 1	30.25%
Exactly 2	7.52%
Exactly 3	1.25%
Exactly 4	0.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	12.81%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.67%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.12%

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	14.34%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.28%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Real Madrid

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	20.86%
Wins by 2 goals	9.14%
Wins by 3 goals	2.87%
Wins by 4 goals	0.69%
Wins by 5 goals	0.12%

Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	21.88%
Wins by 2 goals	10.06%
Wins by 3 goals	3.31%
Wins by 4 goals	0.83%
Wins by 5 goals	0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.74%	12.26%
1.5	62.00%	38.00%
2.5	35.00%	65.00%
3.5	16.11%	83.89%
4.5	6.20%	93.80%
5.5	2.04%	97.96%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.10%	35.90%
1.5	27.32%	72.68%
2.5	8.48%	91.52%
3.5	2.05%	97.95%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.85%	34.15%
1.5	29.16%	70.84%
2.5	9.45%	90.55%
3.5	2.39%	97.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.16%	37.84%
1.5	25.38%	74.62%
2.5	7.52%	92.48%
3.5	1.73%	98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Real Madrid

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.26%	13.17%	7.08%	2.53%	0.68%	0.15%
1	12.56%	13.49%	7.25%	2.60%	0.70%	0.15%
2	6.43%	6.91%	3.71%	1.33%	0.36%	0.08%
3	2.20%	2.36%	1.27%	0.45%	0.12%	0.03%
4	0.56%	0.60%	0.32%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%
5	0.12%	0.12%	0.07%	0.02%	0.01%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	12.56%
2-0	6.43%
2-1	6.91%
3-0	2.20%
3-1	2.36%
3-2	1.27%
4-0	0.56%
4-1	0.60%
4-2	0.32%
4-3	0.12%
5-0	0.12%
5-1	0.12%

Draw
0-0	12.26%
1-1	13.49%
2-2	3.71%
3-3	0.45%

Real Madrid
0-1	13.17%
0-2	7.08%
1-2	7.25%
0-3	2.53%
1-3	2.60%
2-3	1.33%
0-4	0.68%
1-4	0.70%
2-4	0.36%
3-4	0.12%
0-5	0.15%
1-5	0.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Real Madrid

Score	0	1	2	3
0	37.84%	18.82%	4.68%	0.78%
1	17.95%	8.93%	2.22%	0.37%
2	4.26%	2.12%	0.53%	0.09%
3	0.67%	0.33%	0.08%	0.01%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	17.95%
2-0	4.26%
2-1	2.12%
3-0	0.67%
3-1	0.33%

Draw
0-0	37.84%
1-1	8.93%
2-2	0.53%

Real Madrid
0-1	18.82%
0-2	4.68%
1-2	2.22%
0-3	0.78%
1-3	0.37%

Getafe at Betis

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Atlético Madrid at Real Madrid