Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 25, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Club 		19.2%
57.0%		23.8%
+475
-143
+454
-145
0.88
1.71		2.59
o2¼-107
u2¼-108
o2-150
u2½-145
Getafe
Sevilla 		14.4%
62.8%		22.7%
+283
+124
+250
+125
0.71
1.77		2.48
o2-104
u2-115
o2+105
u2-115
Games for Aug 24, 2025
Games for Aug 27, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Espanyol		72.9%
9.8%		17.3%
-178
+550
-210
+515
3
1		-0.43996-0.44091-0.31605
Valladolid
Barcelona		5.9%
81.6%		12.6%
+1904
-669
+1700
-750
0
4		-0.16689-0.17605-0.20386
Villarreal
Getafe		48.2%
25.4%		26.4%
-133
+451
-135
+425
0
0		-1.33264-1.30221-1.33219
Sevilla
Almería		62.3%
15.7%		22.0%
+118
+268
+120
+250
1
2		-1.32385-1.29960-1.85304
Real Sociedad
Elche		63.1%
15.5%		21.4%
+118
+295
+105
+300
1
0		-0.79412-0.76692-0.45986
Osasuna
Betis		31.9%
41.7%		26.4%
+377
-116
+335
-115
0
1		-0.64434-0.67495-0.87527
Almería
Elche		39.2%
31.9%		28.9%
+240
+139
+220
+140
1
1		-1.19869-1.18185-1.24278
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		54.6%
21.8%		23.5%
+111
+275
+105
+265
4
1		-0.76798-0.76040-0.60451
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid		17.4%
60.0%		22.7%
+361
-107
+350
-115
2
0		-1.55084-1.55405-1.75094
Valencia
Athletic Club		32.1%
39.9%		28.0%
+495
-143
+420
-145
0
1		-0.55316-0.57752-0.91917
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		70.5%
11.4%		18.0%
-147
+435
-160
+400
4
1		-0.53348-0.53495-0.34910
Cadiz
Osasuna		23.2%
50.6%		26.3%
+394
-107
+370
-115
0
2		-0.67670-0.67515-0.68181
Valladolid
Sevilla		10.0%
72.0%		18.1%
+639
-184
+600
-200
1
1		-1.45616-1.46305-1.71153
Elche
Betis		22.2%
53.5%		24.3%
+534
-160
+520
-180
0
3		-0.49666-0.48595-0.62640
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		64.3%
13.0%		22.6%
-115
+495
-120
+450
3
0		-0.63913-0.65479-0.44124
Real Madrid
Almería		70.7%
11.3%		18.0%
-221
+642
-230
+575
2
1		-0.39432-0.41308-0.34677
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07781 
Sportsbooks21-0-1 (0.750)0-1.07956 
DRatings20-1-1 (0.250)0-1.34204
-0.26422
-0.26248

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.