Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 20, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Sociedad
Villarreal 		33.0%
40.5%		26.5%
+293
-103

1.20
1.36		2.56
o2¾+101
u2¾-120

Games for Mar 19, 2026
Games for Mar 21, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Espanyol
Real Madrid		7.1%
78.4%		14.5%
+1300
-425
+950
-375
1
3		-0.24327-0.28650-0.24382
Getafe
Cadiz		43.0%
26.9%		30.0%
+264
+151
+245
+145
2
2		-1.07105-1.09506-1.20257
Celta Vigo
Osasuna		29.7%
43.2%		27.1%
+199
+173
+190
+165
0
0		-1.17199-1.16398-1.30726
Real Madrid
Betis		68.4%
13.2%		18.4%
-133
+395
-140
+375
0
0		-1.43683-1.41001-1.69049
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano		48.2%
25.2%		26.5%
+183
+195
+180
+180
0
0		-1.13069-1.14514-1.32655
Valencia
Barcelona		9.6%
74.6%		15.8%
+903
-291
+800
-280
0
1		-0.32612-0.35415-0.29296
Espanyol
Valladolid		31.3%
39.0%		29.6%
+250
+134
+230
+130
1
2		-0.86612-0.88201-0.94115
Sevilla
Atlético Madrid		22.7%
49.8%		27.5%
+545
-158
+490
-155
1
6		-0.51395-0.54787-0.69691
Villarreal
Almería		55.8%
21.0%		23.2%
+121
+240
+120
+225
2
0		-0.82481-0.83924-0.58429
Cadiz
Real Sociedad		11.6%
69.3%		19.0%
+740
-187
+615
-185
0
0		-1.40104-1.38581-1.65873
Getafe
Villarreal		19.3%
57.0%		23.7%
+510
-140
+490
-145
1
2		-0.56909-0.57049-0.56256
Osasuna
Sevilla		13.0%
67.3%		19.7%
+465
-138
+450
-135
3
2		-1.75840-1.74589-2.04107
Barcelona
Almería		75.0%
9.3%		15.8%
-209
+600
-220
+575
0
1		-1.97393-1.95900-2.37947
Valladolid
Celta Vigo		28.4%
43.9%		27.7%
+430
-140
+440
-150
0
3		-0.56386-0.56138-0.82376
Real Sociedad
Valencia		45.8%
28.3%		25.9%
+147
+233
+140
+220
0
1		-1.23035-1.21362-1.26298
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid		33.7%
36.3%		30.0%
+385
-120
+370
-120
1
1		-1.29357-1.27479-1.20547
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.29964 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.31364 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.36728
-0.06764
-0.05364

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.