Almería at Real Madrid

Updated

Almería

8.2%15.1%76.8%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.47
2Final Score 4

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Almería
Money Line
W 2-1 at Getafe+380
L 2-1 vs Athletic Club+400
L 1-2 at Atlético Madrid+1250
W 1-2 vs Valencia+215
T 2-2 at Celta Vigo+550
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Celta Vigo-350
W 2-0 at Cadiz-185
L 3-2 vs Villarreal-205
W 0-6 vs Valladolid-520
L 1-2 at Barcelona+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+1500+1887+1500+1800-+1800+1887-
Real Madrid-725-729-800-725--725-725-
Draw+800+850+900+875-+875+900-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+1425----+1250+1250-
Real Madrid-610-----675-675-
Draw+700----+850+850-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +1842 to +1796
Real Madrid ML moved from -700 to -725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 30.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +1280 to +1250
Real Madrid ML moved from -600 to -675

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-102o3½-162o4-108o4-115-o4-115o4-108-
Underu3¾-118u3½+147u4-112u4-105-u4-105u4-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110o4-105--o3½-130o4-105o3½-130-
Underu3½-120u4-115--u3½+100u4-115u4-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-125 to o4-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.28%
Exactly 221.24%
Exactly 417.59%
Exactly 65.83%
Exactly 81.03%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.48%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.09%
Exactly 72.62%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Almería
Exactly 050.77%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 211.66%
Exactly 32.64%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 08.42%
Exactly 120.84%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 413.15%
Exactly 56.51%
Exactly 62.68%
Exactly 70.95%
Exactly 80.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.24%
Exactly 224.75%
Exactly 44.39%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.91%
Exactly 312.04%
Exactly 51.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almería
Exactly 073.06%
Exactly 122.93%
Exactly 23.60%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 031.80%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almería
Wins by 2+ goals2.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals54.34%
Wins by 3+ goals32.21%
Wins by 4+ goals16.06%
Wins by 5+ goals6.80%
Wins by 6+ goals2.45%
Wins by 7+ goals0.73%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Almería
Real Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Almería
Wins by 1 goal6.10%
Wins by 2 goals1.65%
Wins by 3 goals0.32%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.31%
Wins by 2 goals22.12%
Wins by 3 goals16.16%
Wins by 4 goals9.26%
Wins by 5 goals4.35%
Wins by 6 goals1.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.72%4.28%
1.582.24%17.76%
2.561.00%39.00%
3.538.68%61.32%
4.521.09%78.91%
5.510.00%90.00%
6.54.18%95.82%
7.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Almería Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.23%50.77%
1.514.81%85.19%
2.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.58%8.42%
1.570.74%29.26%
2.544.96%55.04%
3.523.69%76.31%
4.510.54%89.46%
5.54.03%95.97%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.76%23.24%
1.542.85%57.15%
2.518.10%81.90%
3.56.07%93.93%
4.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almería
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
4.28%
10.58%
13.09%
10.80%
6.68%
3.30%
1
2.90%
7.17%
8.87%
7.32%
4.53%
2.24%
2
0.98%
2.43%
3.01%
2.48%
1.53%
0.76%
3
0.22%
0.55%
0.68%
0.56%
0.35%
0.17%
Almería
1-02.90%
2-00.98%
2-12.43%
3-00.22%
3-10.55%
3-20.68%
Draw
0-04.28%
1-17.17%
2-23.01%
3-30.56%
Real Madrid
0-110.58%
0-213.09%
1-28.87%
0-310.80%
1-37.32%
2-32.48%
0-46.68%
1-44.53%
2-41.53%
3-40.35%
0-53.30%
1-52.24%
2-50.76%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Almería
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
23.24%
26.62%
15.25%
5.82%
1.67%
0.38%
1
7.29%
8.35%
4.79%
1.83%
0.52%
0.12%
2
1.14%
1.31%
0.75%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Almería
1-07.29%
2-01.14%
2-11.31%
3-00.12%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-023.24%
1-18.35%
2-20.75%
Real Madrid
0-126.62%
0-215.25%
1-24.79%
0-35.82%
1-31.83%
2-30.29%
0-41.67%
1-40.52%
0-50.38%
1-50.12%