Almería at Atlético Madrid

Updated

Almería

7.6%15.8%76.7%
WinDrawAtlético Madrid Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.32
1Final Score 2

Atlético Madrid

Last 5 Games

Almería
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Valencia+215
T 2-2 at Celta Vigo+550
T 1-1 vs Cadiz+100
L 1-2 at Sevilla+440
L 2-0 vs Villarreal+225
Atlético Madrid
Money Line
W 2-1 at Rayo Vallecano-125
W 0-1 vs Betis-240
W 0-3 vs Valencia-200
W 1-6 vs Sevilla-155
T 1-1 at Real Madrid+370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+1025+1315+1000+1100-+1100+1315-
Atlético Madrid-368-439-460-425--425-425-
Draw+525+616+600+600-+600+616-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+1200----+1250+1250-
Atlético Madrid-425-----500-500-
Draw+515----+600+600-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 20.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +1357 to +1315
Atlético Madrid ML moved from -452 to -473

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 20.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +1200 to +1150
Atlético Madrid ML moved from -465 to -500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-142o3¼-112o3¼-113-o3¼-113o3-142-
Underu3-118u3+127u3¼-108u3¼-107-u3¼-107u3+127-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3½+115--o3-110o3½+115o3-110-
Underu3-115u3½-135--u3-120u3½-135u3½-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3-143
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.7%
 
No60.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.50%
Exactly 223.13%
Exactly 416.22%
Exactly 64.55%
Exactly 80.68%
 
Exactly 115.95%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.41%
Exactly 71.89%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Almería
Exactly 056.02%
Exactly 132.46%
Exactly 29.40%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 09.81%
Exactly 122.78%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 320.46%
Exactly 411.88%
Exactly 55.51%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 70.71%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.10%
Exactly 223.55%
Exactly 43.54%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 310.54%
Exactly 50.95%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almería
Exactly 076.47%
Exactly 120.51%
Exactly 22.75%
Exactly 30.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 034.13%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.72%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almería
Wins by 2+ goals1.67%
Wins by 3+ goals0.26%
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals53.09%
Wins by 3+ goals30.41%
Wins by 4+ goals14.53%
Wins by 5+ goals5.88%
Wins by 6+ goals2.02%
Wins by 7+ goals0.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Almería
Atlético Madrid
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Almería
Wins by 1 goal5.86%
Wins by 2 goals1.41%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals22.68%
Wins by 3 goals15.88%
Wins by 4 goals8.66%
Wins by 5 goals3.85%
Wins by 6 goals1.44%
Wins by 7 goals0.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.50%5.50%
1.578.56%21.44%
2.555.43%44.57%
3.533.06%66.94%
4.516.84%83.16%
5.57.43%92.57%
6.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Almería Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.98%56.02%
1.511.52%88.48%
2.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.19%9.81%
1.567.41%32.59%
2.540.97%59.03%
3.520.51%79.49%
4.58.63%91.37%
5.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.90%26.10%
1.538.84%61.16%
2.515.29%84.71%
3.54.75%95.25%
4.51.21%98.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almería
Atlético Madrid
Score012345
0
5.50%
12.76%
14.81%
11.46%
6.65%
3.09%
1
3.18%
7.39%
8.58%
6.64%
3.86%
1.79%
2
0.92%
2.14%
2.49%
1.92%
1.12%
0.52%
3
0.18%
0.41%
0.48%
0.37%
0.22%
0.10%
Almería
1-03.18%
2-00.92%
2-12.14%
3-00.18%
3-10.41%
3-20.48%
Draw
0-05.50%
1-17.39%
2-22.49%
3-30.37%
Atlético Madrid
0-112.76%
0-214.81%
1-28.58%
0-311.46%
1-36.64%
2-31.92%
0-46.65%
1-43.86%
2-41.12%
3-40.22%
0-53.09%
1-51.79%
2-50.52%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Almería
Atlético Madrid
Score012345
0
26.10%
28.06%
15.08%
5.40%
1.45%
0.31%
1
7.00%
7.53%
4.05%
1.45%
0.39%
0.08%
2
0.94%
1.01%
0.54%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
Almería
1-07.00%
2-00.94%
2-11.01%
Draw
0-026.10%
1-17.53%
2-20.54%
Atlético Madrid
0-128.06%
0-215.08%
1-24.05%
0-35.40%
1-31.45%
2-30.19%
0-41.45%
1-40.39%
0-50.31%