Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1289
-450
+1350
-500
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-112
u3-102
o3-105
u3+100
Games for Sep 24, 2024
Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Real Madrid		25.2%
53.4%		21.4%
+472
-169
+475
-180
1
2		-0.48054-0.47541-0.62738
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		48.2%
27.9%		24.0%
-175
+483
-190
+475
1
0		-0.47928-0.47289-0.73039
Valencia
Huesca		45.0%
28.9%		26.1%
+358
-125
+340
-130
0
0		-1.08021-1.07383-1.01980
Barcelona
Eibar		69.6%
16.4%		13.9%
-165
+410
-195
+425
1
0		-0.49594-0.46420-0.36202
Betis
Celta Vigo		36.0%
36.4%		27.6%
+115
+235
+115
+220
3
2		-0.79531-0.81225-1.02198
Cadiz
Levante		25.0%
51.6%		23.4%
+380
-140
+320
-135
2
2		-1.07776-1.04410-1.02382
Sevilla
Villarreal		38.8%
33.6%		27.6%
+220
+125
+220
+120
0
4		-0.83427-0.83605-1.09079
Eibar
Valencia		28.3%
46.6%		25.1%
+221
+145
+225
+125
1
4		-0.90148-0.84807-0.76336
Valladolid
Real Sociedad		20.3%
61.3%		18.4%
+650
-208
+600
-200
1
4		-0.42540-0.44669-0.48923
Elche
Cadiz		31.8%
37.8%		30.3%
+125
+257
+125
+240
3
1		-0.83374-0.86074-1.14460
Levante
Getafe		34.4%
36.6%		29.0%
+504
-155
+475
-160
1
2		-0.52723-0.53664-1.00509
Huesca
Betis		27.6%
48.0%		24.3%
+275
+111
+290
+100
0
1		-0.76873-0.73441-0.73330
Celta Vigo
Barcelona		13.5%
75.7%		10.8%
+1100
-450
+1250
-525
2
1		-2.52012-2.65342-2.00056
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid		15.2%
70.3%		14.5%
+1450
-425
+1500
-550
1
2		-0.22807-0.21729-0.35173
Real Madrid
Athletic Club		56.4%
22.6%		21.0%
-167
+450
-180
+460
1
0		-0.49834-0.49187-0.57228
Granada
Alavés		43.9%
29.8%		26.3%
+391
-120
+375
-125
2
4		-0.63881-0.63828-1.21127
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.