Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1400
-500
+1350
-510
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-112
u3+100
o3-105
u3+100
Games for Sep 24, 2024
Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Madrid
Granada		57.0%
23.0%		20.0%
-275
+732
-270
+660
4
1		-0.34174-0.36386-0.56142
Betis
Eibar		36.2%
35.9%		27.9%
+162
+188
+160
+185
1
1		-1.03156-1.04829-1.01964
Villarreal
Valladolid		54.0%
24.4%		21.6%
-117
+337
-120
+325
2
0		-0.64840-0.65589-0.61580
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid		23.4%
54.1%		22.6%
+519
-155
+475
-150
1
2		-0.52787-0.56122-0.61504
Athletic Club
Huesca		44.4%
28.5%		27.1%
+190
+165
+190
+160
0
1		-1.00865-1.00622-1.25446
Getafe
Celta Vigo		35.9%
34.0%		30.1%
+185
+181
+180
+180
0
1		-1.06007-1.07090-1.07828
Valencia
Sevilla		22.7%
56.3%		21.0%
+475
-160
+475
-160
0
1		-0.51420-0.52405-0.57437
Barcelona
Levante		63.2%
20.4%		16.4%
-550
+1400
-600
+1325
3
3		-1.46428-1.45643-1.02393
Alavés
Elche		34.1%
35.8%		30.1%
+185
+198
+185
+185
2
0		-1.07810-1.09285-1.07502
Cadiz
Osasuna		27.2%
46.8%		25.9%
+400
-125
+360
-125
2
3		-0.61328-0.63726-0.75916
Granada
Betis		37.4%
35.7%		26.8%
+370
-122
+360
-125
1
2		-0.62933-0.63726-1.02954
Sevilla
Real Madrid		28.6%
45.2%		26.3%
+310
-113
+310
-115
2
2		-1.05604-1.06624-1.02366
Celta Vigo
Villarreal		22.6%
58.2%		19.2%
+435
-159
+420
-145
4
2		-1.70683-1.68222-1.48572
Valladolid
Valencia		26.4%
49.5%		24.1%
+290
+115
+260
+120
0
3		-0.78531-0.83704-0.70229
Eibar
Getafe		29.2%
42.4%		28.4%
+315
+114
+265
+120
1
0		-1.45350-1.34458-1.23162
Osasuna
Athletic Club		30.0%
43.4%		26.6%
+430
-135
+380
-130
2
2		-1.14038-1.11964-1.01968
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.