Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1400
-500
+1350
-510
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-112
u3-101
o3-115
u3+100
Games for Sep 24, 2024
Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Huesca
Cadiz		32.5%
37.1%		30.4%
+103
+325
+100
+320
1
2		-1.48192-1.48444-0.99201
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona		31.8%
39.9%		28.3%
+388
-135
+350
-130
0
0		-1.10490-1.08667-1.03250
Levante
Alavés		43.1%
30.6%		26.3%
+275
+117
+245
+120
2
2		-1.07391-1.06418-1.01338
Elche
Real Sociedad		18.4%
64.9%		16.7%
+850
-225
+775
-210
0
2		-0.38303-0.41083-0.43171
Athletic Club
Sevilla		22.4%
55.6%		22.0%
+572
-169
+550
-180
1
0		-1.93489-1.92046-1.49718
Barcelona
Valencia		61.9%
20.7%		17.4%
-312
+820
-325
+750
3
2		-0.30881-0.31612-0.47981
Cadiz
Granada		24.3%
52.4%		23.3%
+414
-117
+400
-125
1
0		-1.65873-1.65795-1.41436
Getafe
Villarreal		24.8%
52.1%		23.1%
+330
+104
+320
+100
0
1		-0.73752-0.74251-0.65231
Betis
Valladolid		38.8%
33.7%		27.5%
+112
+265
+120
+225
1
1		-1.05798-1.03040-1.01675
Osasuna
Real Madrid		16.5%
69.6%		13.8%
+800
-278
+800
-300
0
2		-0.33526-0.33798-0.36193
Real Sociedad
Huesca		56.5%
22.5%		20.9%
+120
+270
+115
+260
0
1		-1.33139-1.33029-1.49014
Atlético Madrid
Elche		71.6%
13.8%		14.6%
-217
+765
-240
+750
1
0		-0.40860-0.39787-0.33419
Alavés
Eibar		30.2%
42.1%		27.7%
+229
+140
+200
+150
0
3		-0.91282-0.97069-0.86500
Levante
Celta Vigo		39.0%
33.9%		27.0%
+385
-120
+330
-115
0
2		-0.61880-0.67749-1.08134
Granada
Barcelona		17.3%
69.1%		13.7%
+1800
-714
+1700
-750
2
1		-2.97378-2.93822-1.75707
Valladolid
Athletic Club		26.1%
48.9%		25.0%
+394
-115
+390
-120
2
2		-1.14586-1.14460-1.03011
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.