Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1350
-475
+1350
-510
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-112
u3-101
o3-115
u3+100
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Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Real Sociedad
Eibar		51.0%
25.9%		23.1%
-104
+320
+100
+300
1
0		-0.70680-0.74482-0.67370
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club		57.4%
20.8%		21.8%
-116
+400
-130
+425
1
2		-1.63194-1.69876-1.56954
Granada
Sevilla		22.8%
56.3%		20.9%
+647
-215
+600
-225
1
2		-0.40980-0.41673-0.57503
Osasuna
Celta Vigo		35.2%
36.7%		28.2%
+370
-120
+360
-120
1
2		-0.63424-0.64596-1.00346
Barcelona
Villarreal		50.7%
27.0%		22.3%
-145
+375
-145
+360
2
1		-0.55373-0.57348-0.68021
Getafe
Huesca		40.8%
29.7%		29.4%
+185
+196
+180
+195
2
0		-1.08031-1.07555-0.89548
Betis
Real Madrid		17.0%
69.6%		13.4%
+590
-196
+550
-200
0
0		-1.19605-1.18532-1.06623
Alavés
Valencia		25.7%
50.7%		23.6%
+295
+105
+290
+100
1
1		-1.07860-1.07635-1.01907
Cadiz
Valladolid		30.4%
40.3%		29.3%
+450
-130
+400
-130
1
1		-1.16751-1.13966-1.04927
Levante
Elche		45.4%
29.1%		25.5%
+165
+185
+170
+170
0
1		-1.07546-1.04512-1.23570
Getafe
Barcelona		15.4%
70.2%		14.5%
+1530
-450
+1400
-500
2
5		-0.21241-0.23705-0.35429
Eibar
Granada		28.2%
46.9%		24.9%
+240
+140
+225
+140
1
4		-0.90830-0.92637-0.75813
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad		22.3%
58.0%		19.6%
+355
-120
+340
-120
1
2		-0.63480-0.65541-0.54400
Huesca
Atlético Madrid		11.4%
76.5%		12.1%
+978
-275
+850
-280
0
2		-0.33592-0.35458-0.26766
Real Madrid
Cadiz		70.2%
15.2%		14.6%
-250
+700
-265
+700
3
0		-0.37122-0.36993-0.35449
Valladolid
Elche		34.9%
34.8%		30.3%
+155
+230
+150
+225
1
1		-1.08991-1.09866-1.05360
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.