Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1400
-490
+1350
-510
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-112
u3-103
o3-115
u3+100
Games for Sep 24, 2024
Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Villarreal
Alavés		55.2%
23.7%		21.1%
-136
+470
-160
+425
1
2		-1.74790-1.70678-1.44045
Athletic Club
Betis		36.8%
35.4%		27.8%
+315
-105
+300
+105
0
0		-1.06926-1.06754-1.01891
Valencia
Osasuna		37.4%
34.9%		27.7%
+200
+163
+195
+160
1
3		-1.00147-1.00570-1.05372
Sevilla
Levante		50.2%
26.3%		23.5%
-210
+694
-200
+650
1
0		-0.39242-0.42039-0.68838
Villarreal
Levante		44.2%
31.1%		24.7%
-137
+420
-140
+375
5
1		-0.55877-0.57896-0.81570
Real Madrid
Getafe		58.7%
20.7%		20.6%
-103
+305
+100
+290
0
0		-1.06870-1.07635-1.05366
Celta Vigo
Cadiz		37.6%
32.9%		29.5%
+105
+288
+100
+290
0
0		-1.06762-1.07635-1.04453
Valencia
Betis		37.2%
35.8%		27.0%
+335
-118
+325
-120
2
2		-1.06540-1.07286-1.00784
Eibar
Atlético Madrid		13.7%
72.4%		13.9%
+900
-240
+950
-260
0
5		-0.37602-0.37169-0.32343
Huesca
Alavés		31.6%
39.1%		29.2%
+190
+179
+190
+170
0
1		-1.05360-1.04064-0.93859
Sevilla
Real Sociedad		38.3%
33.5%		28.2%
+180
+173
+160
+185
2
1		-1.06028-1.00239-0.95959
Elche
Osasuna		27.2%
47.7%		25.1%
+370
+101
+325
+100
0
2		-0.71595-0.73522-0.73965
Sevilla
Celta Vigo		56.0%
21.9%		22.1%
+109
+287
+105
+275
4
3		-0.76355-0.76529-0.57957
Atlético Madrid
Betis		62.0%
18.6%		19.4%
+124
+265
+120
+260
1
1		-1.07376-1.08327-1.08006
Granada
Valladolid		43.5%
31.1%		25.4%
+265
+125
+240
+130
2
1		-1.31867-1.27397-0.83183
Real Sociedad
Valencia		43.9%
31.6%		24.5%
+142
+218
+135
+240
2
2		-1.04531-1.06152-0.98780
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.