Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1400
-490
+1350
-510
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-112
u3-103
o3-115
u3+100
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Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Osasuna
Villarreal		24.0%
55.3%		20.7%
+455
-130
+465
-145
2
1		-1.74446-1.78094-1.42837
Barcelona
Real Madrid		37.8%
36.8%		25.5%
+143
+180
+145
+180
1
2		-1.05762-1.06459-1.00068
Levante
Eibar		40.4%
34.3%		25.3%
+205
+145
+205
+140
1
0		-1.13906-1.16162-0.90718
Alavés
Athletic Club		25.3%
50.1%		24.6%
+350
-102
+350
-105
0
0		-1.12796-1.12782-1.03198
Cadiz
Getafe		25.3%
47.7%		27.0%
+440
-115
+380
-105
1
0		-1.71563-1.61591-1.37555
Elche
Huesca		32.9%
39.8%		27.4%
+290
+120
+285
+115
1
3		-0.81069-0.81182-0.92211
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad		26.6%
49.8%		23.6%
+223
+165
+215
+150
1
1		-1.09035-1.08138-1.01072
Valladolid
Barcelona		12.0%
78.0%		10.0%
+2263
-775
+1800
-800
0
1		-0.14901-0.16907-0.24803
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla		39.6%
30.7%		29.7%
+180
+193
+180
+190
0
1		-1.10627-1.11045-1.18182
Valencia
Cadiz		45.0%
28.4%		26.6%
+120
+273
+120
+275
1
2		-1.35093-1.35969-1.25977
Betis
Elche		42.1%
31.4%		26.6%
-125
+395
-125
+375
1
1		-1.12465-1.12346-1.01271
Celta Vigo
Alavés		36.3%
34.4%		29.2%
+150
+225
+145
+205
3
1		-0.93156-0.94348-1.01288
Getafe
Osasuna		34.2%
36.1%		29.8%
+250
+160
+250
+150
0
0		-1.12512-1.13271-1.04674
Eibar
Real Madrid		15.0%
71.9%		13.1%
+810
-270
+800
-300
0
2		-0.34334-0.33798-0.33006
Villarreal
Granada		43.0%
31.6%		25.4%
-110
+345
+105
+290
3
0		-0.68029-0.76845-0.84339
Huesca
Levante		25.5%
51.6%		22.9%
+210
+143
+210
+135
2
0		-1.16350-1.18127-1.36735
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.