Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1400
-460
+1350
-510
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-117
u3-102
o3-115
u3+100
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Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Barcelona
Real Sociedad		50.0%
27.0%		23.0%
-135
+364
-140
+350
6
1		-0.58202-0.58727-0.31431
Alavés
Atlético Madrid		11.9%
75.5%		12.6%
+1100
-263
+1050
-325
0
1		-0.32617-0.31864-0.28122
Cadiz
Villarreal		18.8%
64.2%		17.0%
+810
-220
+775
-235
1
2		-0.39656-0.40435-0.44367
Granada
Valencia		33.9%
39.1%		27.0%
+275
+115
+290
+105
1
2		-0.79359-0.76845-0.93872
Elche
Getafe		25.2%
48.6%		26.2%
+430
-105
+420
-110
1
1		-1.19670-1.19590-0.69352
Sevilla
Valladolid		59.9%
20.1%		20.0%
-105
+340
-120
+380
1
1		-1.10588-1.13834-0.91412
Osasuna
Huesca		40.0%
32.0%		28.1%
+222
+146
+205
+155
0
0		-1.06870-1.07241-0.76280
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo		64.9%
18.7%		16.4%
-149
+450
-150
+400
3
1		-0.53447-0.55961-0.20686
Eibar
Athletic Club		28.0%
46.0%		26.0%
+480
-139
+370
-130
1
1		-1.17752-1.10970-0.69630
Levante
Betis		36.7%
36.6%		26.7%
+390
-132
+385
-140
0
2		-0.59296-0.59034-1.00578
Elche
Sevilla		15.0%
70.2%		14.8%
+760
-213
+750
-235
0
2		-0.41384-0.40242-0.35331
Huesca
Barcelona		11.0%
80.0%		9.0%
+1900
-650
+1850
-800
1
4		-0.16931-0.16779-0.12848
Betis
Sevilla		20.5%
61.6%		17.9%
+364
-117
+375
-125
0
1		-0.64969-0.63828-0.28734
Villarreal
Eibar		51.0%
26.2%		22.8%
+127
+240
+125
+240
3
1		-0.33672-0.33182-0.41494
Real Sociedad
Granada		43.0%
31.2%		25.8%
-157
+500
-155
+470
0
1		-1.81714-1.78922-0.86588
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo		39.1%
32.7%		28.2%
+191
+170
+170
+175
0
0		-0.73348-0.74309-0.69710
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.