Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Getafe
Barcelona 		8.6%
74.9%		16.4%
+1450
-460
+1350
-515
0.64
2.30		2.94
o3-118
u3+100
o3-115
u3+105
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Games for Sep 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atlético Madrid
Getafe		59.4%
19.0%		21.6%
-120
+445
-125
+450
0
0		-0.95970-0.96821-0.84750
Valladolid
Osasuna		29.3%
44.2%		26.4%
+280
+120
+265
+125
0
0		-0.70174-0.70528-0.71402
Elche
Real Madrid		12.1%
77.2%		10.7%
+1300
-435
+1300
-475
1
2		-0.24012-0.23893-0.14590
Cadiz
Alavés		31.1%
39.2%		29.7%
+290
+120
+275
+115
1
1		-0.70100-0.69962-0.69974
Valencia
Levante		34.5%
38.6%		26.9%
+230
+138
+220
+130
0
1		-0.88598-0.88201-0.63824
Athletic Club
Atlético Madrid		17.3%
64.6%		18.1%
+380
-107
+375
-110
1
2		-0.33864-0.33784-0.23781
Alavés
Betis		28.5%
46.6%		24.8%
+431
-138
+450
-140
2
3		-0.28125-0.27132-0.47749
Granada
Athletic Club		33.5%
38.7%		27.8%
+449
+110
+300
+110
1
2		-0.32390-0.42199-0.62420
Levante
Real Sociedad		26.5%
51.4%		22.2%
+750
-249
+750
-265
0
1		-0.15264-0.15018-0.41527
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid		31.2%
40.0%		28.8%
+160
+200
+165
+195
1
1		-0.69570-0.69458-0.70082
Celta Vigo
Huesca		37.5%
33.4%		29.0%
+152
+208
+150
+195
4
3		-0.59784-0.61380-0.63730
Barcelona
Osasuna		67.1%
18.0%		14.9%
-227
+700
-225
+600
2
0		-0.16557-0.18760-0.23803
Eibar
Cadiz		36.9%
33.0%		30.1%
+125
+255
+120
+265
0
1		-0.94693-0.97801-0.75071
Sevilla
Elche		63.5%
18.3%		18.3%
-130
+444
-140
+450
1
2		-1.40482-1.43704-1.49727
Getafe
Valladolid		38.6%
31.4%		30.0%
+175
+215
+170
+210
1
2		-0.76336-0.76460-0.80089
Villarreal
Valencia		43.1%
31.4%		25.5%
-104
+336
-110
+320
1
2		-1.17022-1.16315-0.86358
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63405 
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63418 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.63703
-0.00299
-0.00286

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.