Spain La Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Osasuna
Atlético Madrid		14.6%
67.6%		17.9%
+700
-205
+750
-225
0
1		-0.42656-0.41738-0.39207
Alavés
Sevilla		15.5%
65.6%		18.9%
+800
-215
+775
-225
2
2		-1.48448-1.46029-1.66453
Villarreal
Celta Vigo		50.8%
26.7%		22.5%
+205
+150
+170
+170
1
1		-1.21359-1.21503-1.49014
Athletic Club
Levante		35.1%
39.3%		25.5%
+125
+255
+115
+260
0
0		-1.22909-1.22799-1.36500
Sevilla
Betis		53.9%
24.2%		21.9%
+165
+195
+160
+190
2
0		-1.00780-1.00622-0.61845
Real Sociedad
Osasuna		48.5%
28.1%		23.4%
+135
+235
+130
+235
2
0		-0.89031-0.88242-0.72350
Atlético Madrid
Valencia		57.4%
20.8%		21.8%
-105
+359
-115
+375
3
3		-1.21571-1.24122-1.52143
Getafe
Villarreal		24.8%
52.0%		23.3%
+725
-209
+650
-210
0
1		-0.42071-0.43716-0.65481
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid		12.0%
73.6%		14.4%
+775
-260
+750
-260
1
2		-0.36129-0.37459-0.30647
Levante
Alavés		43.8%
31.1%		25.1%
+240
+135
+240
+135
1
2		-0.88797-0.90084-1.16854
Barcelona
Celta Vigo		67.2%
16.2%		16.6%
+100
+285
+100
+270
3
3		-1.31778-1.31759-1.79715
Granada
Espanyol		43.5%
30.9%		25.6%
+365
-115
+360
-120
0
2		-0.65304-0.65751-1.17438
Cadiz
Athletic Club		23.9%
51.3%		24.8%
+861
-250
+900
-300
1
0		-2.28908-2.35136-1.42929
Granada
Levante		35.7%
39.6%		24.7%
+290
+110
+295
+105
3
0		-1.39336-1.42583-1.03114
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano		39.2%
34.7%		26.1%
+215
+140
+210
+140
0
0		-1.24109-1.21362-1.34251
Atlético Madrid
Levante		58.6%
20.5%		20.9%
-201
+650
-180
+600
2
2		-1.50067-1.44020-1.56643
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.60276 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.59121 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.54806
0.05470
0.04315

Predictions Methodology

Spain's La Liga is arguably the world's strongest soccer league. Twenty teams play 38 games in the league. The top four teams make Champions League. Teams that finish 5th through 7th make the Europa League. The teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to La Liga 2.